$ARCC
Trade-Ideas alert history 24 alerts 2022-01-05 → 2024-08-05
⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 24 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
Practice trading ARCC on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ARCC alerts reach +0.81% profit potential within 110 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.54%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 24 alerts, ARCC typically reaches +0.81% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ARCC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-05 | 09:29:42 | $19.44 | +0.05% | +0.23% | +1.29% | +1.47% | +1.85% | +2.52% | -0.62% | +0.46% | WIN |
| 2024-06-12 | 09:29:52 | $21.54 | -0.23% | -0.23% | -0.51% | -0.33% | -0.51% | +0.23% | -0.28% | -0.19% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-22 | 09:26:16 | $20.64 | -0.15% | -0.07% | -0.07% | -0.15% | +0.10% | +0.24% | -0.41% | -0.19% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-14 | 09:28:11 | $20.38 | -0.76% | -0.64% | -1.25% | -1.24% | -1.91% | -0.15% | -0.48% | -0.17% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-23 | 09:27:00 | $20.14 | -0.25% | -0.20% | -0.07% | +0.00% | -0.15% | +0.15% | -0.45% | +0.10% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-16 | 09:26:48 | $20.13 | +0.15% | -0.15% | +0.03% | +0.05% | +0.10% | +0.30% | -0.35% | +0.05% | WIN |
| 2023-12-14 | 09:28:00 | $19.92 | -1.05% | -1.10% | -0.75% | -1.15% | -0.90% | +0.25% | -1.56% | -0.35% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-13 | 09:28:00 | $20.15 | -0.65% | -0.45% | -0.27% | +0.02% | +0.30% | +0.30% | -0.82% | -0.15% | LOSS |
| 2023-10-30 | 09:27:00 | $18.84 | +0.13% | -0.27% | -0.05% | -0.43% | +0.80% | +0.80% | -0.61% | -0.42% | WIN |
| 2023-09-29 | 09:25:00 | $19.73 | +0.00% | -0.05% | -0.05% | -0.43% | -1.32% | +0.30% | -0.05% | +0.00% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-14 | 09:28:00 | $19.19 | +0.34% | +0.78% | +0.76% | +0.34% | +0.57% | +0.94% | +0.89% | +0.68% | WIN |
| 2023-08-16 | 09:28:00 | $19.36 | -0.31% | -0.10% | -0.15% | -0.08% | -0.26% | +0.26% | -0.46% | -0.31% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-20 | 09:29:00 | $19.64 | -0.15% | -0.36% | -0.69% | -1.02% | -0.87% | -0.05% | -0.20% | -0.10% | LOSS |
| 2023-04-25 | 09:25:00 | $18.35 | +0.00% | +0.05% | +1.04% | +0.57% | -1.25% | +1.50% | -0.55% | -0.44% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-14 | 09:27:00 | $18.06 | -2.33% | -1.85% | -1.50% | -1.53% | -1.22% | +0.00% | +0.00% | -0.22% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-13 | 09:25:00 | $17.61 | -0.23% | -1.36% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +1.02% | +2.73% | -2.21% | -0.91% | LOSS |
| 2023-01-13 | 09:29:00 | $18.87 | -0.64% | -0.13% | +0.24% | +0.48% | +0.16% | +0.74% | -0.85% | -0.11% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-08 | 09:25:00 | $18.97 | +0.48% | +1.05% | +1.82% | +1.24% | +0.47% | +1.84% | -0.37% | +0.26% | WIN |
| 2022-07-29 | 09:25:00 | $19.31 | -0.05% | +0.60% | +0.96% | +1.58% | +0.41% | +1.84% | -0.54% | -0.16% | LOSS |
| 2022-06-21 | 09:25:00 | $17.85 | -0.11% | -0.81% | -0.45% | -0.17% | -1.57% | +0.17% | -1.57% | -0.78% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠ ARCC Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -0.16% average gain, ARCC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ARCC for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze ARCC with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ARCC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ARCC historically offers an average upside of +0.81% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ARCC Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, ARCC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ARCC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: ARCC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.16%). This suggests ARCC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.