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ARLO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-09 → 2023-06-29

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Arlo Technologies, Inc. HOUSEHOLD AUDIO & VIDEO EQUIPMENT (SIC 3651)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 03, 2018 🔗 www.arlo.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.38B 👥 Employees: 148
Arlo Technologies Inc is engaged in the provision of security and video monitoring solutions for homes and businesses. It combines a cloud infrastructure and mobile app with various smart connected devices to provide users with visibility, insight, and a means to help protect and connect in real-time with the people and things from any location with a Wi-Fi or a cellular connection. The company offers subscription services such as Arlo Secure, Arlo Total Security, and Arlo Safe, and several categories of smart security devices, including smart Wi-Fi and LTE-enabled cameras, video doorbells, floodlight cameras, and home security systems. Geographically, the company generates a majority of its revenue from the United States, followed by Spain, Sweden, and other countries.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+4.34%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+13.21%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4.34%
Avg Winner: +4.34%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.59%
Worst: +4.09%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4.14%
Avg Winner: +4.14%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.87%
Worst: +3.41%
Trades: 2/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +6.09%
Avg Winner: +6.09%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +6.34%
Worst: +5.85%
Trades: 2/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +6.85%
Avg Winner: +6.85%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +7.02%
Worst: +6.68%
Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +10.09%
Avg Winner: +10.09%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +16.18%
Worst: +4.00%
Trades: 2/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +13.21%
Best MFE: +17.54%
Avg Time to MFE: 98 min

On average, ARLO alerts reach +13.21% profit potential within 98 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.00%
Worst MAE: +0.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 0 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.00%.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, ARLO typically reaches +13.21% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 10.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +1.22%
Best Gap +1.95%

🏭 Sector Comparison: HOUSEHOLD AUDIO & VIDEO EQUIPMENT

How ARLO compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ARLO: +4.34% Sector: +1.70% +2.64%
EOD Gain
ARLO: +10.09% Sector: +1.67% +8.42%
Avg MFE
ARLO: +13.21% Sector: +15.03% -1.82%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ARLO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-06-29 09:29:00 $10.25 +4.59% +3.41% +6.34% +6.68% +4.00% +8.88% - +0.49% WIN
2023-03-09 09:29:00 $5.13 +4.09% +4.87% +5.85% +7.02% +16.18% +17.54% - +1.95% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

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🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on ARLO

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ARLO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ARLO Strategy →

Why Analyze ARLO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ARLO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ARLO historically offers an average upside of +13.21% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ARLO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, ARLO shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ARLO performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +4.34%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.