Latest signal:
ARVL Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 231 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-13 → 2023-10-13
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ARVL alerts reach +4.73% profit potential within 85 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.34%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.02x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 231 alerts, ARVL typically reaches +4.73% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.8% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ARVL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-13 | 09:25:00 | $1.05 | -2.86% | - | +0.17% | +0.95% | +5.71% | +8.57% | -2.86% | -2.86% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-09 | 09:28:00 | $2.43 | -4.52% | -5.76% | -7.41% | -6.58% | -7.82% | -1.07% | -3.29% | -3.29% | LOSS |
| 2023-04-14 | 09:28:00 | $5.4 | -3.89% | -5.56% | -6.48% | -10.74% | -24.63% | +1.85% | +1.85% | -0.19% | LOSS |
| 2023-04-13 | 09:29:00 | $0.12 | +0.68% | -0.43% | -0.26% | -0.51% | +4580.85% | +1.28% | -2.13% | -0.43% | WIN |
| 2023-04-12 | 09:29:00 | $0.12 | -0.62% | -0.99% | -0.82% | -4.53% | -4.53% | - | -1.23% | -1.23% | LOSS |
| 2023-04-11 | 09:26:00 | $0.13 | -5.83% | +1.24% | -0.70% | -0.78% | -5.29% | +7.23% | -6.69% | -1.09% | LOSS |
| 2023-04-10 | 09:25:00 | $0.16 | -0.57% | +9.52% | +8.95% | +1.46% | +4401.90% | +19.92% | -2.73% | +0.13% | LOSS |
| 2023-04-06 | 09:28:00 | $0.12 | -0.57% | +1.46% | -2.99% | +1.13% | +4831.29% | +4.28% | -2.99% | -2.51% | LOSS |
| 2023-04-05 | 09:25:00 | $0.13 | -2.63% | -4.21% | -6.69% | -5.71% | +4418.80% | - | - | -6.01% | LOSS |
| 2023-04-04 | 09:27:00 | $0.14 | -1.73% | -2.52% | -1.08% | -0.94% | +4525.63% | +0.07% | -2.81% | -1.80% | LOSS |
| 2023-04-03 | 09:28:00 | $0.14 | -0.30% | -0.22% | -3.55% | -0.89% | +4955.39% | +1.92% | -4.73% | -0.66% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-31 | 09:27:00 | $0.14 | -3.61% | -1.70% | -1.70% | -1.70% | +4638.33% | - | - | -0.99% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-30 | 09:26:00 | $0.14 | -2.06% | -0.42% | -0.49% | -0.35% | +4677.00% | +3.55% | -2.30% | +2.58% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-29 | 09:26:00 | $0.14 | -1.40% | -1.69% | -1.62% | -1.69% | +4815.73% | +0.07% | -4.56% | -1.69% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-27 | 09:28:00 | $0.15 | -0.59% | -2.28% | -3.00% | -3.00% | +4857.63% | +1.43% | -1.50% | +1.43% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-24 | 09:26:00 | $0.15 | -2.00% | -1.87% | -3.40% | -1.47% | +4900.00% | +2.33% | -3.47% | +1.00% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-23 | 09:25:00 | $0.15 | - | -3.33% | -1.01% | -0.85% | +4694.39% | +1.17% | -4.44% | +0.39% | - |
| 2023-03-22 | 09:26:00 | $0.16 | +2.08% | +1.89% | +0.57% | +0.25% | -5.66% | +4.84% | +0.63% | +2.96% | WIN |
| 2023-03-21 | 09:27:00 | $0.17 | -2.08% | -0.54% | +0.65% | -3.63% | +4656.24% | +1.07% | -4.16% | -1.90% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-20 | 09:29:00 | $0.15 | -0.40% | -3.03% | -1.06% | -0.99% | +5.61% | +13.39% | -4.35% | +2.18% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 72.7% Baseline on ARVL
The 72.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ARVL's performance to 75%+.
Optimize ARVL Strategy →Why Analyze ARVL with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ARVL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ARVL historically offers an average upside of +4.73% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ARVL Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 72.7%, ARVL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ARVL performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +3053.92%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.