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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$ARX

Trade-Ideas alerts 0.0% at 5-min n=2 2026-08-13 → 2026-08-14

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 2 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 24, 2025 🔗 www.accelerant.ai
💰 Market Cap: $4.29B 👥 Employees: 574
Accelerant Holdings operates as a data-driven risk exchange that connects selected specialty insurance underwriters with risk capital partners. The company operates in three segments: Exchange Services, MGA Operations, and Underwriting. The majority of its revenue is generated from the Underwriting segment, which contains all revenue and expenses associated with the underwriting of insurance policies and assumption of reinsurance policies issued or accepted by Accelerant's consolidated insurance and reinsurance companies. Geographically, it operates in North America, the UK, and the EU, out of which it derives maximum revenue from North America.
Total alerts
2
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
0.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.06%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.36%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading ARX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.13%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -0.13%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.11%
Best: -0.05%
Worst: -0.18%
Trades: 0/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.26%
Best: -0.08%
Worst: -0.43%
Trades: 0/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.18%
Best: -0.13%
Worst: -0.23%
Trades: 0/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.46%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -0.46%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.36%
Best MFE: +0.41%
Avg Time to MFE: 104 min

On average, ARX alerts reach +0.36% profit potential within 104 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.20%
Worst MAE: -0.41%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.20%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.75:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, ARX typically reaches +0.36% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.00%
Best Gap +0.05%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INSURANCE AGENTS, BROKERS & SERVICE

How ARX compares to 21 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ARX: -0.06% Sector: +0.05% -0.11%
EOD Gain
ARX: -0.23% Sector: +1723.67% -1723.90%
Avg MFE
ARX: +0.36% Sector: +8.16% -7.81%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ARX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-08-14 09:25:00 $19.58 +0.00% -0.05% -0.08% -0.13% +0.00% +0.41% -0.41% -0.05% LOSS
2026-08-13 09:25:00 $19.6 -0.13% -0.18% -0.43% -0.23% -0.46% +0.31% +0.00% +0.05% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ ARX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -0.06% average gain, ARX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ARX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ARX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ARX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ARX historically offers an average upside of +0.36% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ARX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, ARX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ARX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ARX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.06%). This suggests ARX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.