Latest signal:
ASM Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 20 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2025-02-06
⚠️ Small sample size (20 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ASM alerts reach +3.53% profit potential within 115 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.36%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.6x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 20 alerts, ASM typically reaches +3.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.8% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ASM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-06 | 09:29:44 | $1.34 | -1.49% | -1.57% | -3.06% | -0.75% | -0.75% | +0.75% | -4.87% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:26:22 | $0.98 | +1.01% | -0.01% | -1.01% | -1.02% | +6.12% | +6.80% | -2.32% | -1.02% | WIN |
| 2024-12-09 | 09:27:26 | $1.12 | +1.96% | +1.86% | +2.68% | +3.57% | -0.89% | +5.36% | -1.79% | -0.89% | WIN |
| 2024-11-12 | 09:25:22 | $1.09 | -0.46% | +0.83% | +2.69% | +0.92% | -0.92% | +2.76% | -1.83% | -0.92% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-21 | 09:29:06 | $1.46 | +1.71% | -0.68% | +0.64% | -1.37% | -0.68% | +2.05% | -1.37% | -0.68% | WIN |
| 2024-08-05 | 09:27:06 | $0.84 | -0.60% | -1.19% | +0.60% | +0.71% | +3.27% | +8.56% | -1.19% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-12-22 | 09:27:00 | $0.51 | -0.12% | +0.39% | +0.88% | +2.56% | -0.57% | +3.76% | -0.59% | -0.59% | LOSS |
| 2023-10-12 | 09:28:00 | $0.51 | -1.33% | - | -1.47% | - | -3.53% | +0.98% | -1.37% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-05 | 09:28:00 | $0.69 | -1.78% | -0.72% | -1.81% | -0.75% | +2.16% | +3.17% | -3.60% | -0.73% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-16 | 09:28:00 | $0.69 | -1.11% | -1.23% | -1.32% | -1.32% | +5.28% | +5.80% | -1.45% | -1.32% | LOSS |
| 2023-01-31 | 09:25:00 | $0.79 | -0.34% | - | -1.16% | -1.69% | -1.88% | -0.10% | -0.34% | -0.10% | LOSS |
| 2022-10-05 | 09:25:00 | $0.58 | -1.69% | -1.57% | -0.59% | - | +3.66% | +3.86% | -2.57% | - | LOSS |
| 2022-05-09 | 09:25:00 | $0.66 | +0.75% | +1.53% | -1.13% | -1.85% | -2.31% | +3.53% | -0.78% | +2.27% | WIN |
| 2022-04-25 | 09:25:00 | $0.79 | -5.62% | -4.38% | -5.00% | -7.88% | -5.32% | - | - | -4.62% | LOSS |
| 2022-04-18 | 09:25:00 | $0.97 | +0.40% | +0.15% | +0.31% | -0.10% | -1.96% | +1.44% | -0.92% | -0.18% | WIN |
| 2022-03-17 | 09:25:00 | $0.94 | - | +0.74% | +0.76% | +1.59% | +2.23% | +3.92% | -0.21% | +0.21% | - |
| 2022-03-08 | 09:25:00 | $1.0 | -1.03% | - | +2.00% | +4.00% | -0.35% | +6.00% | -2.26% | -1.50% | LOSS |
| 2022-03-07 | 09:25:00 | $0.9 | +1.13% | +0.73% | +5.03% | +4.92% | +5.92% | +7.26% | +0.37% | +1.68% | WIN |
| 2022-02-24 | 09:25:00 | $0.84 | +0.01% | -1.18% | -2.15% | -4.74% | -4.87% | +0.90% | - | +0.01% | WIN |
| 2022-01-24 | 09:25:00 | $0.79 | +0.14% | -0.41% | -2.09% | -2.66% | +1.23% | +3.80% | -0.06% | +3.80% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ ASM Shows Negative Expectancy
With 45.0% win rate and -0.26% average gain, ASM alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ASM for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze ASM with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ASM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ASM historically offers an average upside of +3.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ASM Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 45.0%, ASM shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ASM may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: ASM shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.26%). This suggests ASM is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.