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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$AVGX

Trade-Ideas alerts 45.6% at EOD n=147 2024-09-19 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Defiance Daily Target 2X Long AVGO ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 21, 2024
Total alerts
147
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
45.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-0.29%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.44%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading AVGX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable AVGX setups

Historical AVGX setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.4%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +1.48%
Avg Loser: -1.39%
Best: +5.77%
Worst: -4.08%
Trades: 55/91

15MIN

Win Rate: 36.1%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +2.43%
Avg Loser: -2.08%
Best: +7.93%
Worst: -9.06%
Trades: 53/94

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.1%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +2.74%
Avg Loser: -2.29%
Best: +11.83%
Worst: -8.20%
Trades: 59/88

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.5%
Avg Gain: -0.41%
Avg Winner: +2.83%
Avg Loser: -2.92%
Best: +8.95%
Worst: -9.89%
Trades: 64/83

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.6%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +3.56%
Avg Loser: -3.55%
Best: +15.74%
Worst: -13.08%
Trades: 67/79

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.44%
Best MFE: +17.12%
Avg Time to MFE: 113 min

On average, AVGX alerts reach +3.44% profit potential within 113 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.52%
Worst MAE: -7.64%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.52%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.26:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.26x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 147 alerts, AVGX typically reaches +3.44% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 147
Gap Up % 42.2%
Avg Gap -0.11%
Best Gap +2.68%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AVGX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $37.45 +0.13% +0.40% +1.04% +3.15% +2.75% +3.95% -1.60% -0.43% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $38.14 -0.32% -0.09% -0.79% -3.09% -5.40% +0.62% -0.84% -0.68% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $38.55 -1.14% -0.86% -0.47% -2.05% -1.09% +0.13% -0.42% -0.99% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $37.5 -0.45% -0.67% -0.85% -0.99% +0.43% +1.01% -1.52% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $40.2 -0.95% -2.50% -2.36% -3.21% -3.68% +0.40% +0.40% +0.15% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $40.48 -0.17% -0.40% -1.16% +0.30% +0.93% +1.89% -1.97% -0.16% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $40.15 -2.86% -3.19% -2.86% -1.84% +0.67% +1.37% -4.17% -1.10% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $37.8 +1.77% +5.29% +5.61% +4.81% +3.68% +6.83% -0.79% +0.71% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $37.03 -0.62% -0.15% +1.02% +1.31% +0.03% +2.00% -1.06% -0.68% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $37.52 -0.04% -1.12% -0.85% -1.89% -2.48% +0.40% -0.59% +0.13% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $41.09 -0.63% -0.78% +0.05% +0.46% -1.73% +0.90% -1.31% -0.10% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $39.7 +0.98% +0.55% +2.02% +2.85% +1.11% +3.78% -0.50% +0.76% WIN
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $41.4 +0.72% -1.45% -1.84% -2.07% -0.97% +1.06% -0.17% +0.10% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $40.9 +0.61% +2.57% +2.42% +2.93% +2.64% +4.89% -0.61% +0.02% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $40.07 -2.80% -1.05% -1.35% -1.82% -1.12% +0.50% -0.55% +0.12% LOSS
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $39.18 -2.53% -3.73% -6.69% -6.71% +0.84% +2.17% -7.64% -2.50% LOSS
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $42.7 -2.22% -1.73% -1.99% -0.96% -1.66% +0.19% +0.12% -0.70% LOSS
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $41.46 -0.82% -1.23% -0.92% -0.55% +2.29% +3.23% -1.83% -0.22% LOSS
2026-08-31 09:25:00 $42.6 +0.78% -1.57% -0.63% -0.94% +0.00% +1.31% -1.08% -0.09% WIN
2026-08-28 09:25:00 $43.8 -0.96% +0.18% -0.75% -1.58% -3.52% +0.62% -1.58% -0.75% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ AVGX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.6% win rate and -0.29% average gain, AVGX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AVGX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze AVGX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AVGX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AVGX historically offers an average upside of +3.44% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AVGX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.6%, AVGX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AVGX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AVGX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.29%). This suggests AVGX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.