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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$AVL

Trade-Ideas alerts 41.5% at EOD n=94 2024-12-17 → 2026-10-02

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 94 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily AVGO Bull 2X ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 09, 2024
Total alerts
94
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
41.5%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-0.68%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.84%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading AVL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.3%
Avg Gain: -0.55%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -1.48%
Best: +3.11%
Worst: -5.66%
Trades: 36/57

15MIN

Win Rate: 35.1%
Avg Gain: -0.78%
Avg Winner: +1.96%
Avg Loser: -2.26%
Best: +6.97%
Worst: -9.27%
Trades: 33/61

30MIN

Win Rate: 37.2%
Avg Gain: -0.58%
Avg Winner: +2.51%
Avg Loser: -2.41%
Best: +7.00%
Worst: -8.15%
Trades: 35/59

60MIN

Win Rate: 38.3%
Avg Gain: -0.68%
Avg Winner: +2.78%
Avg Loser: -2.83%
Best: +6.25%
Worst: -11.00%
Trades: 36/58

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 41.5%
Avg Gain: -0.68%
Avg Winner: +2.97%
Avg Loser: -3.34%
Best: +8.41%
Worst: -15.45%
Trades: 39/54

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.84%
Best MFE: +13.58%
Avg Time to MFE: 106 min

On average, AVL alerts reach +2.84% profit potential within 106 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.66%
Worst MAE: -9.30%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.66%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.71:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 94 alerts, AVL typically reaches +2.84% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 94
Gap Up % 40.4%
Avg Gap -0.24%
Best Gap +3.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AVL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $35.35 +0.14% +0.85% +1.50% +3.45% +3.11% +4.30% -1.19% +0.45% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $36.21 -0.80% -0.61% -0.99% -3.29% -5.47% +0.47% -0.97% -0.64% LOSS
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $36.88 +1.17% +1.06% +1.55% +2.01% -0.81% +2.78% -0.60% -0.43% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $36.18 +0.18% -0.88% -0.91% -1.13% -2.02% +1.46% -0.41% -0.14% WIN
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $36.1 -0.24% +0.29% +0.65% -0.97% +0.08% +1.30% +1.00% +0.14% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $35.8 -1.19% -1.45% -1.68% -1.79% -0.50% +0.20% -2.39% -1.15% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $37.97 -0.58% -2.21% -2.16% -3.08% -3.56% +0.80% -0.58% +0.34% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $38.27 +0.01% -0.30% -0.99% +0.47% +0.99% +2.04% -1.93% +0.08% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $38.22 -3.48% -3.09% -2.93% -1.88% +0.52% +1.31% -4.21% -1.31% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $35.52 +3.04% +6.81% +7.00% +6.02% +4.81% +8.22% +0.00% +2.31% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $35.23 -0.48% -0.26% +1.06% +1.29% +0.00% +2.02% -1.08% -0.26% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $34.18 +0.26% -0.82% +0.32% -0.20% -1.40% +1.23% -1.57% +0.73% WIN
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $34.96 +0.41% -0.11% -0.72% -1.89% -3.66% +0.80% -0.06% +0.29% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $35.5 +0.06% -0.79% -0.26% -1.36% -1.97% +1.30% -0.20% +0.45% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $39.18 -0.61% -0.89% -0.23% +0.20% -1.94% +0.56% -1.51% -0.26% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $37.5 +1.76% +1.36% +2.64% +3.47% +1.81% +4.40% +0.23% +1.15% WIN
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $39.41 +0.88% -1.67% -1.88% -2.26% -1.17% +0.88% -0.25% -0.18% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $38.94 +0.52% +2.34% +2.19% +2.78% +2.55% +4.73% -2.15% -0.19% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $38.19 -3.02% -1.31% -1.57% -2.10% -1.47% +0.03% -0.73% -0.31% LOSS
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $36.29 -0.39% -1.20% -4.22% -4.27% +3.66% +4.90% -5.24% +0.44% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ AVL Shows Negative Expectancy

With 41.5% win rate and -0.68% average gain, AVL alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AVL for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze AVL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AVL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AVL historically offers an average upside of +2.84% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AVL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 41.5%, AVL shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AVL may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AVL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.68%). This suggests AVL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.