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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$AVS

Trade-Ideas alert history 1 alerts 2024-12-162024-12-16

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 1 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily AVGO Bear 1X ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 09, 2024
Total alerts
1
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
0.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-2.38%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.92%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading AVS on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.38%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.38%
Best: -2.38%
Worst: -2.38%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.25%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.25%
Best: -3.25%
Worst: -3.25%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.26%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.26%
Best: -5.26%
Worst: -5.26%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.39%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.39%
Best: -4.39%
Worst: -4.39%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -7.95%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -7.95%
Best: -7.95%
Worst: -7.95%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.92%
Best MFE: +0.92%
Avg Time to MFE: 2 min

On average, AVS alerts reach +0.92% profit potential within 2 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.22%
Worst MAE: +0.22%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.22%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.25:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.25x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, AVS typically reaches +0.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.92%
Best Gap +0.92%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AVS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-16 09:27:42 $18.45 -2.38% -3.25% -5.26% -4.39% -7.95% +0.92% +0.22% +0.92% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ AVS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -2.38% average gain, AVS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AVS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze AVS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AVS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AVS historically offers an average upside of +0.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AVS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, AVS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AVS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AVS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -2.38%). This suggests AVS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.