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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$AVXX

Trade-Ideas alerts 49.1% at 30-min n=54 2026-01-21 → 2026-09-17

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 54 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Defiance Daily Target 2x Long AVAV ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 22, 2025
Total alerts
54
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
49.1%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
-0.31%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+5.94%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading AVXX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.7%
Avg Gain: -0.41%
Avg Winner: +1.69%
Avg Loser: -1.97%
Best: +4.80%
Worst: -6.32%
Trades: 22/30

15MIN

Win Rate: 35.2%
Avg Gain: -0.97%
Avg Winner: +3.62%
Avg Loser: -3.57%
Best: +9.39%
Worst: -10.56%
Trades: 19/34

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +4.30%
Avg Loser: -4.75%
Best: +16.48%
Worst: -11.44%
Trades: 26/27

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.7%
Avg Gain: -1.23%
Avg Winner: +5.53%
Avg Loser: -5.88%
Best: +14.07%
Worst: -18.15%
Trades: 22/32

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -2.05%
Avg Winner: +5.19%
Avg Loser: -8.41%
Best: +12.90%
Worst: -48.20%
Trades: 24/28

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.94%
Best MFE: +19.77%
Avg Time to MFE: 94 min

On average, AVXX alerts reach +5.94% profit potential within 94 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.22%
Worst MAE: -6.32%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.22%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.68:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.68x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 54 alerts, AVXX typically reaches +5.94% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 54
Gap Up % 40.7%
Avg Gap -0.21%
Best Gap +5.24%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AVXX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $26.9 +0.93% +6.52% +9.96% +6.62% +5.72% +10.59% +0.33% +0.33% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $23.1 +0.97% +3.03% +2.64% +14.07% +0.26% +16.28% -4.98% +0.17% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $4.66 +2.37% +3.44% +6.66% +2.18% +2.66% +7.28% -0.64% +0.22% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $4.6 -0.11% -0.43% +1.09% +0.65% -1.74% +2.83% -0.43% +0.87% LOSS
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $5.0 -1.19% -5.69% -7.49% -10.87% -6.29% +2.11% +0.51% -1.29% LOSS
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $4.66 +0.00% -0.86% -1.29% -1.72% -3.00% +2.83% -0.64% -0.64% LOSS
2026-08-28 09:25:00 $5.05 +0.20% -1.19% -2.67% -4.16% -5.35% +0.79% -1.19% +0.79% WIN
2026-08-26 09:25:00 $4.73 +0.56% +2.75% +3.07% +1.27% -0.42% +4.86% -0.21% +0.42% WIN
2026-08-14 09:25:00 $8.97 +3.12% -5.74% -10.49% -7.69% -7.13% +6.91% -0.22% +1.45% WIN
2026-07-31 09:25:00 $5.0 +0.98% +1.38% -0.82% -3.42% +2.78% +4.97% -5.62% +0.98% WIN
2026-07-27 09:25:00 $5.4 -2.58% +1.87% +3.16% +1.12% +3.35% +6.12% -4.51% -2.95% LOSS
2026-07-21 09:25:00 $4.84 -1.41% -0.21% +3.31% +5.58% +8.76% +11.16% -1.86% -1.65% LOSS
2026-07-17 09:25:00 $5.0 +0.00% -2.80% +3.60% +2.60% -3.60% +4.60% -3.40% +0.40% LOSS
2026-07-16 09:25:00 $5.17 +2.90% -2.28% -2.61% -1.74% +3.09% +6.38% -4.06% -0.77% WIN
2026-07-14 09:25:00 $4.95 +0.71% +2.53% +4.04% +1.01% +0.00% +5.45% -1.62% -0.61% WIN
2026-07-10 09:25:00 $5.27 +1.14% -0.57% -2.94% -3.70% -4.17% +2.25% +2.09% +0.57% WIN
2026-07-09 09:25:00 $5.91 -4.09% -9.51% -8.15% -9.85% -9.84% +0.00% +0.00% -3.76% LOSS
2026-07-08 09:25:00 $6.94 -3.16% -0.35% -2.29% -8.06% -12.53% +0.30% +0.00% -3.59% LOSS
2026-07-07 09:25:00 $7.51 +1.03% -2.14% -4.87% -13.05% -13.85% +1.99% -0.94% -0.14% WIN
2026-07-06 09:25:00 $9.0 +0.06% -9.37% -6.11% -11.00% -14.78% +0.89% -3.83% -0.11% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ AVXX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 49.1% win rate and -0.31% average gain, AVXX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AVXX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze AVXX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AVXX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AVXX historically offers an average upside of +5.94% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AVXX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.1%, AVXX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AVXX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AVXX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.31%). This suggests AVXX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.