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BITO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 733 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

ProShares Bitcoin ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Oct 19, 2021
📊
733
Total Alerts
🎯
50.9%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.04%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.63%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.9%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.23%
Avg Loser: -0.19%
Best: +6.82%
Worst: -1.22%
Trades: 372/300

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.39%
Avg Loser: -0.40%
Best: +2.94%
Worst: -2.95%
Trades: 347/357

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.9%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.61%
Avg Loser: -0.54%
Best: +4.40%
Worst: -3.61%
Trades: 343/375

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.82%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +5.66%
Worst: -3.62%
Trades: 347/370

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.79%
Avg Loser: -1.68%
Best: +11.02%
Worst: -9.55%
Trades: 341/384

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.63%
Best MFE: +12.85%
Avg Time to MFE: 150 min

On average, BITO alerts reach +1.63% profit potential within 150 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.55%
Worst MAE: -5.28%
Avg Time to MAE: 31 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.55%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.96:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.96x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 733 alerts, BITO typically reaches +1.63% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 733
Gap Up % 41.5%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +4.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BITO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:55 $22.47 -0.04% +0.45% +0.76% -0.16% +0.67% +2.54% -0.42% - LOSS
2025-02-13 09:25:25 $22.3 -0.09% -0.43% -0.13% +0.27% +0.36% +0.58% -0.67% - LOSS
2025-02-12 09:25:09 $22.05 -0.36% +0.63% +0.66% +1.13% +2.31% +3.07% -0.41% -0.14% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:25:57 $22.51 +0.08% +0.27% +0.22% +0.13% -1.64% +0.60% -0.04% +0.13% WIN
2025-02-10 09:26:32 $22.73 +0.18% -0.37% -0.33% -0.54% -0.31% +0.37% -0.09% +0.09% WIN
2025-02-07 09:28:58 $23.25 -0.35% +0.17% -0.00% -1.27% -4.17% +0.43% -0.63% -0.04% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:29:33 $22.89 +0.43% -0.04% -0.28% -0.92% -1.49% +0.70% -0.27% - WIN
2025-02-05 09:27:59 $22.97 -0.09% +0.35% -0.44% -0.22% -1.18% +0.61% -0.22% +0.13% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:25:02 $23.11 -0.04% +1.00% +1.06% - -0.48% +1.69% -0.88% - LOSS
2025-02-03 09:26:27 $22.04 +0.77% +1.88% +1.81% +4.08% +7.03% +8.12% -0.14% +0.18% WIN
2025-01-31 09:29:30 $25.4 -0.35% -0.24% -0.24% +0.54% -3.19% +1.36% -0.67% -0.04% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:05 $25.47 +0.31% +0.33% +0.92% +0.63% -0.04% +1.57% -0.16% - WIN
2025-01-29 09:26:01 $24.79 - -0.12% -0.08% -0.20% +2.10% +2.70% -0.81% - -
2025-01-28 09:26:58 $24.88 +0.03% -0.44% +0.28% +0.68% -1.37% +1.25% -0.48% +0.08% WIN
2025-01-27 09:25:10 $24.41 -0.14% +0.39% +1.47% +0.70% +0.57% +1.72% -0.29% +0.08% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:27:47 $25.58 -0.47% +0.72% +0.59% +0.35% -0.55% +1.88% -0.63% +0.08% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:29:56 $24.86 +2.01% +2.94% +2.74% +2.25% +0.68% +4.46% -0.12% - WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:25 $25.37 +0.16% -0.22% +0.12% +0.47% -0.20% +0.71% -0.79% +0.16% WIN
2025-01-21 09:26:20 $25.56 -0.20% -1.84% -1.80% -1.53% +0.98% +2.11% -2.35% - LOSS
2025-01-17 09:27:50 $25.02 +0.14% -0.40% +0.50% +1.14% +1.88% +3.24% -0.44% +0.04% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.9% Baseline on BITO

The 50.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BITO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BITO Strategy →

Why Analyze BITO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BITO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BITO historically offers an average upside of +1.63% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BITO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.9%, BITO shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BITO performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.04%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.