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BUD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 142 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-13 → 2025-02-11

🏢 Company Profile

Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 18, 1980 🔗 www.ab-inbev.com
💰 Market Cap: $134.97B 👥 Employees: 144,000
Anheuser-Busch InBev is the largest brewer in the world and one of the world's top five consumer product companies, as measured by EBITDA. The company's portfolio contains six of the top 10 beer brands by volume, according to Euromonitor, and we estimate it distributes 23 brands with retail sales over $1 billion. AB InBev was created by the 2008 merger of Belgium-based InBev and US-based Anheuser-Busch. The firm holds a 62% economic interest in Ambev, an 87% stake in Budweiser APAC, and in 2016 it acquired SABMiller.
📊
142
Total Alerts
🎯
54.9%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.05%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.82%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 54.9%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.23%
Avg Loser: -0.17%
Best: +1.28%
Worst: -0.58%
Trades: 78/62

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.6%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.32%
Avg Loser: -0.32%
Best: +1.25%
Worst: -1.38%
Trades: 69/68

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.1%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.49%
Avg Loser: -0.35%
Best: +1.65%
Worst: -1.52%
Trades: 64/77

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.56%
Avg Loser: -0.50%
Best: +2.44%
Worst: -1.72%
Trades: 71/69

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.2%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.78%
Avg Loser: -0.81%
Best: +3.47%
Worst: -2.77%
Trades: 77/63

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.82%
Best MFE: +3.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 147 min

On average, BUD alerts reach +0.82% profit potential within 147 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.29%
Worst MAE: -2.21%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.29%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.87:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.87x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 142 alerts, BUD typically reaches +0.82% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 142
Gap Up % 58.5%
Avg Gap +0.04%
Best Gap +1.13%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BUD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-11 09:27:52 $50.52 +0.08% -0.10% -0.04% -0.06% +1.09% +1.08% -0.24% -0.04% WIN
2025-02-07 09:29:38 $50.88 -0.45% -0.38% -0.27% -0.50% -1.14% +0.04% -0.14% -0.02% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:28:05 $50.4 -0.20% -0.08% -0.36% -0.25% +0.08% +0.26% - +0.08% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:25:29 $49.48 -0.25% -0.32% -0.42% -0.30% -0.61% +0.63% -0.48% -0.04% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:29:01 $49.85 -0.26% -0.32% -0.28% +0.02% -0.06% +0.44% -0.56% +0.02% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:25:21 $46.5 - -0.22% -0.28% -0.05% +1.33% +1.62% -0.34% +0.13% -
2025-01-03 09:25:42 $49.43 -0.10% -0.59% -0.85% -1.50% -1.17% +0.04% -0.08% -0.06% LOSS
2024-12-16 09:26:27 $52.95 -0.09% +0.13% - +0.19% -0.79% +0.38% -0.35% -0.09% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:26:23 $53.56 -0.28% -0.35% -0.22% -0.43% -0.11% +0.06% -0.67% +0.02% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:28:00 $53.15 -0.24% -0.21% -0.47% -0.47% -1.45% -0.06% -0.09% -0.15% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:29:06 $53.41 -0.30% -0.38% -0.47% -0.38% -0.84% +0.07% -0.21% +0.07% LOSS
2024-12-06 09:29:31 $53.62 -0.26% -0.09% -0.30% -0.48% -1.32% +0.17% -0.13% - LOSS
2024-12-05 09:29:27 $53.45 +0.05% - -0.11% -0.37% -0.60% +0.10% -0.02% +0.07% WIN
2024-11-22 09:27:30 $54.7 -0.05% +0.13% -0.08% - +0.05% +0.26% -0.13% -0.05% LOSS
2024-11-19 09:29:43 $55.89 +0.11% -0.13% -0.13% +0.13% +0.30% +0.60% -0.25% +0.07% WIN
2024-11-15 09:25:12 $56.53 -0.02% -0.19% -0.20% -0.19% -0.50% +0.09% +0.05% - LOSS
2024-11-14 09:27:33 $56.84 +0.12% -0.25% -0.29% -0.47% -0.86% +0.33% +0.12% +0.16% WIN
2024-11-13 09:27:14 $55.73 +0.14% -0.11% -0.27% -0.36% +0.13% +0.25% -0.02% +0.02% WIN
2024-11-12 09:25:27 $56.29 -0.20% -0.32% -0.23% -0.46% -0.52% +0.05% -0.30% - LOSS
2024-11-11 09:29:55 $57.07 +0.14% +0.26% +0.16% -0.16% - +0.28% -0.23% -0.05% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.9% Baseline on BUD

The 54.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BUD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BUD Strategy →

Why Analyze BUD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BUD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BUD historically offers an average upside of +0.82% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BUD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.9%, BUD shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BUD performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.