Latest signal:
CAT Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 46 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-30
⚠️ Small sample size (46 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, CAT alerts reach +1.63% profit potential within 124 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.72%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.27x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 46 alerts, CAT typically reaches +1.63% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY & EQUIP
How CAT compares to 2 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical CAT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-30 | 09:27:47 | $376.98 | -0.23% | +0.10% | -0.65% | -0.21% | -0.53% | +1.02% | -1.01% | -0.92% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-10 | 09:25:51 | $360.0 | -0.81% | -1.30% | -0.81% | -1.43% | -2.50% | -0.04% | -0.60% | -0.60% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-06 | 09:27:38 | $406.3 | +1.65% | +1.16% | +0.51% | +1.33% | +2.60% | +2.95% | -0.56% | -0.28% | WIN |
| 2024-10-30 | 09:29:33 | $374.0 | -1.06% | -0.49% | +1.47% | +1.29% | +1.40% | +3.81% | -1.82% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-08-06 | 09:25:42 | $315.0 | -0.22% | +2.22% | +4.20% | +4.68% | +3.63% | +5.45% | -1.43% | -0.30% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-16 | 09:29:18 | $347.65 | -0.52% | -0.22% | +0.92% | +1.76% | +3.72% | +4.21% | -0.69% | -0.24% | LOSS |
| 2024-06-12 | 09:26:36 | $332.55 | +0.04% | +0.71% | +0.38% | - | -1.15% | +0.79% | -0.20% | +0.18% | WIN |
| 2024-04-25 | 09:26:16 | $336.44 | +0.26% | -0.34% | -0.84% | +0.31% | +0.46% | +1.63% | -1.82% | -1.78% | WIN |
| 2024-02-05 | 09:29:37 | $334.95 | -1.22% | -1.08% | -4.08% | -4.41% | -4.05% | -0.02% | -1.18% | -0.02% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-19 | 09:26:00 | $286.13 | +0.68% | +0.99% | +1.03% | +1.43% | +2.39% | +2.41% | +0.01% | +0.23% | WIN |
| 2023-11-22 | 09:26:00 | $242.67 | -0.07% | +0.79% | +0.40% | +0.49% | +1.38% | +2.04% | -0.35% | -0.34% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-15 | 09:27:00 | $248.98 | +0.28% | +0.09% | +0.58% | +0.81% | +0.85% | +1.58% | -0.15% | +0.22% | WIN |
| 2023-10-31 | 09:27:00 | $227.4 | +0.13% | +0.36% | +0.77% | -0.07% | -0.59% | +1.38% | -1.23% | +0.11% | WIN |
| 2023-08-23 | 09:25:00 | $270.0 | +0.22% | +0.12% | +0.30% | +0.59% | +1.12% | +1.39% | -0.33% | +0.11% | WIN |
| 2023-08-18 | 09:29:00 | $273.0 | +0.22% | -0.11% | -0.33% | -0.11% | +0.29% | +0.99% | -0.69% | +0.00% | WIN |
| 2023-08-02 | 09:27:00 | $287.14 | +0.39% | +1.27% | +1.15% | +1.92% | +0.15% | +2.35% | -0.07% | +0.21% | WIN |
| 2023-08-01 | 09:27:00 | $271.5 | +2.11% | +2.55% | +4.08% | +4.75% | +6.32% | +6.36% | -0.37% | +0.46% | WIN |
| 2023-07-11 | 09:27:00 | $249.78 | +0.80% | +1.11% | +1.06% | +1.51% | +1.23% | +1.88% | +0.02% | +0.02% | WIN |
| 2023-06-28 | 09:25:00 | $239.7 | -0.33% | -0.15% | -0.19% | -0.41% | +0.91% | +0.98% | -0.77% | -0.17% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-13 | 09:27:00 | $242.0 | -0.28% | +0.10% | +0.31% | +1.43% | +1.42% | +1.93% | -0.96% | -0.79% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 56.5% Baseline on CAT
The 56.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CAT's performance to 75%+.
Optimize CAT Strategy →Why Analyze CAT with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CAT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, CAT historically offers an average upside of +1.63% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 CAT Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 56.5%, CAT shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CAT performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.