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CODX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-23 → 2022-08-15

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Co-Diagnostics, Inc. Common Stock SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS (SIC 3841)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 12, 2017 🔗 www.codiagnostics.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.8M 👥 Employees: 115
Co-Diagnostics Inc is a molecular diagnostics company. The company develops, manufactures, licenses, and commercializes reagents used for diagnostic tests that function via the detection and/or analysis of nucleic acid molecules (DNA or RNA), including molecular tools for detection of infectious diseases. CDI's low-cost system uses its tests to diagnose tuberculosis, Zika, hepatitis B and C, Malaria, dengue and others. The Company also uses its proprietary technology to design specific tests for its Co-Dx PCR platform and to locate genetic markers for use in applications other than infectious diseases.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.44%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+6.44%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.44%
Avg Winner: +0.18%
Avg Loser: -1.66%
Best: +0.23%
Worst: -1.66%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +1.08%
Avg Winner: +6.18%
Avg Loser: -1.46%
Best: +6.18%
Worst: -2.56%
Trades: 1/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +4.00%
Avg Loser: -1.86%
Best: +4.00%
Worst: -3.26%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.36%
Avg Winner: +4.58%
Avg Loser: -1.75%
Best: +4.58%
Worst: -1.86%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.81%
Avg Winner: +1.49%
Avg Loser: -0.54%
Best: +2.52%
Worst: -0.54%
Trades: 2/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.44%
Best MFE: +13.50%
Avg Time to MFE: 175 min

On average, CODX alerts reach +6.44% profit potential within 175 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.75%
Worst MAE: -3.62%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.75%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.34:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.34x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, CODX typically reaches +6.44% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.74%
Best Gap +1.40%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CODX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-08-15 09:25:00 $4.29 +0.13% -2.56% -0.47% -1.86% +0.47% +2.56% -3.50% +1.40% WIN
2022-08-12 09:25:00 $4.37 +0.23% +6.18% +4.00% +4.58% +2.52% +13.50% -1.14% -0.92% WIN
2022-06-23 09:25:00 $5.52 -1.66% -0.36% -3.26% -1.63% -0.54% +3.26% -3.62% -2.72% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CODX Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, CODX has -0.44% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making CODX profitable.

🔧 Fix CODX Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze CODX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CODX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CODX historically offers an average upside of +6.44% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CODX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, CODX shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.66%) outweigh average wins (+0.18%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CODX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.44%). This suggests CODX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.