Latest signal: November 28, 2023

CPK Stock Analysis

Name: CPK Trading Alert Analysis
Creator: FILTRIX

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-11-10 → 2023-11-28

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Chesapeake Utilities NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION (SIC 4923)

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.chpk.com

💰 Market Cap: $2.96B 👥 Employees: 1,200

Chesapeake Utilities Corp is a diversified energy delivery company that is engaged in natural gas transmission and distribution, electricity generation and distribution, propane gas distribution, mobile compressed natural gas utility services and solutions and other businesses. The company operates in two reportable segments, Regulated Energy and Unregulated Energy. The company's natural gas and electric distribution operations in Delaware, Maryland and Florida are subject to regulation by PSC. Eastern Shore, its natural gas transmission is subject to regulation by the FERC and Peninsula Pipeline and Aspire Energy Express, its intrastate pipeline subsidiaries, are subject to regulation by the Florida PSC and Public Utilities Commission of Ohio, respectively.

📊

Total Alerts

🎯

100.0%

Win Rate (15MIN)

💰

+0.46%

Avg Gain (15MIN)

🚀

+1.70%

Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%

Avg Gain: +0.02%

Avg Winner: +0.18%

Avg Loser: -0.14%

Best: +0.18%

Worst: -0.14%

Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%

Avg Gain: +0.46%

Avg Winner: +0.46%

Avg Loser: +0.00%

Best: +0.86%

Worst: +0.05%

Trades: 2/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%

Avg Gain: -71.33%

Avg Winner: +0.00%

Avg Loser: -71.33%

Best: -71.33%

Worst: -71.33%

Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%

Avg Gain: +0.25%

Avg Winner: +0.25%

Avg Loser: +0.00%

Best: +0.25%

Worst: +0.25%

Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%

Avg Gain: -0.41%

Avg Winner: +0.00%

Avg Loser: -0.41%

Best: -0.32%

Worst: -0.49%

Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.70%

Best MFE: +2.10%

Avg Time to MFE: 124 min

On average, CPK alerts reach +1.70% profit potential within 124 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -36.43%

Worst MAE: -71.33%

Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 36.43%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.05:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, CPK typically reaches +1.70% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2

Gap Up % 0.0%

Avg Gap -35.73%

Best Gap -0.14%

🏭 Sector Comparison: NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION

How CPK compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain

CPK: +0.18% Sector: -0.44% +0.62%

EOD Gain

CPK: -0.49% Sector: +1.38% -1.87%

Avg MFE

CPK: +1.30% Sector: +4.78% -3.49%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CPK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date	Time	Price	5min	15min	30min	60min	EOD	MFE	MAE	Gap	Result
2023-11-28	09:27:00	$92.59	-0.14%	+0.86%	-	-	-0.32%	+2.10%	-1.53%	-0.14%	LOSS
2023-11-10	09:26:00	$87.14	+0.18%	+0.05%	-71.33%	+0.25%	-0.49%	+1.30%	-71.33%	-71.31%	WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on CPK

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CPK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CPK Strategy →

Why Analyze CPK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CPK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CPK historically offers an average upside of +1.70% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CPK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, CPK shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CPK performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.46%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.