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CSIQ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 32 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-03 → 2025-02-03

⚠️ Small sample size (32 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Canadian Solar Inc. Common Shares (ON)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 09, 2006 🔗 www.canadiansolar.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.49B 👥 Employees: 17,113
Canadian Solar Inc is a Canadian solar technology and renewable energy company. It is a manufacturer of solar photovoltaic modules, a provider of battery energy storage solutions, and a developer of utility-scale solar power and battery energy storage projects.. It operates through two business segments CSI Solar and Recurrent Energy segment. The CSI Solar segment focused on solar modules and battery energy storage manufacturing and products. Its Recurrent segment focused on utility-scale solar power and battery energy storage project development and operation. Key revenue is generated from CSI Solar segment.
📊
32
Total Alerts
🎯
56.2%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.13%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+4.01%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.93%
Avg Loser: -1.84%
Best: +9.29%
Worst: -6.96%
Trades: 16/16

15MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +2.69%
Avg Loser: -2.58%
Best: +8.52%
Worst: -7.97%
Trades: 14/18

30MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +3.75%
Avg Loser: -3.39%
Best: +12.58%
Worst: -9.25%
Trades: 14/18

60MIN

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +3.00%
Avg Loser: -4.16%
Best: +9.39%
Worst: -10.08%
Trades: 18/14

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +4.16%
Avg Loser: -4.37%
Best: +18.57%
Worst: -13.02%
Trades: 16/16

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.01%
Best MFE: +18.90%
Avg Time to MFE: 110 min

On average, CSIQ alerts reach +4.01% profit potential within 110 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.34%
Worst MAE: -5.83%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.34%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.99:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.99x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 32 alerts, CSIQ typically reaches +4.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 32
Gap Up % 53.1%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +1.21%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CSIQ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:27:51 $9.99 -1.40% -2.50% -2.83% -2.40% -2.80% +0.30% -4.30% -0.70% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:29:31 $12.5 +2.56% +3.04% +4.48% +4.92% +0.24% +8.88% -0.64% -0.64% WIN
2024-12-05 09:26:52 $11.7 +2.27% +0.68% -0.68% -2.69% -2.05% +2.99% -0.43% +1.03% WIN
2024-11-06 09:26:09 $14.48 -0.90% -3.73% -6.39% -4.70% -9.67% +1.52% -1.95% +0.55% LOSS
2024-10-29 09:28:36 $15.11 -6.96% -7.97% -7.28% -6.35% -7.21% +0.33% -4.04% +0.07% LOSS
2024-10-23 09:27:00 $13.25 -4.23% -3.92% -4.53% -6.91% -9.74% +0.91% -0.08% +0.30% LOSS
2024-10-22 09:29:30 $12.15 +2.14% +2.18% +1.56% +0.58% +4.53% +7.33% -0.33% -0.16% WIN
2024-08-22 09:29:01 $13.33 +4.05% -0.04% -1.65% -2.89% -7.91% +4.73% -1.69% -0.30% WIN
2024-06-20 09:28:32 $15.98 -0.77% -0.50% -0.44% +0.06% +0.25% +0.94% -2.00% +0.25% LOSS
2024-04-10 09:28:13 $17.98 +0.28% -1.50% -2.25% -1.78% -3.45% +0.95% +0.89% +0.67% WIN
2023-11-30 09:26:00 $21.1 -0.66% -2.42% -1.59% +0.95% -0.33% +2.89% -2.72% -0.57% LOSS
2023-11-29 09:29:00 $21.12 +0.21% +0.66% +1.68% +0.64% -0.99% +1.89% -0.21% +0.05% WIN
2023-11-15 09:29:00 $20.98 -1.86% -0.62% -2.63% +0.95% -2.05% +2.29% -3.43% +0.10% LOSS
2023-11-14 09:29:00 $18.2 +9.29% +8.52% +5.22% +8.08% +18.57% +18.90% -2.09% -0.33% WIN
2023-11-13 09:26:00 $21.05 +0.81% +1.62% +1.47% +0.67% -0.38% +2.57% -0.33% -0.24% WIN
2023-08-22 09:25:00 $30.8 -3.45% -6.25% -7.73% -10.08% -13.02% - - -2.24% LOSS
2023-07-12 09:25:00 $37.96 +0.13% +0.66% -0.87% -0.64% +1.34% +2.42% -1.26% +0.34% WIN
2023-05-18 09:27:00 $40.0 -0.10% -2.86% -4.58% -3.33% +0.45% +1.52% -0.75% +0.80% LOSS
2023-03-21 09:26:00 $39.01 -3.08% -0.23% +3.17% +3.18% +5.74% +7.20% -5.15% -0.03% LOSS
2023-01-30 09:29:00 $39.76 -0.15% +1.06% +1.11% +3.24% +0.38% +3.62% -1.25% +0.45% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CSIQ Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 56.2% win rate, CSIQ has -0.13% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making CSIQ profitable.

🔧 Fix CSIQ Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze CSIQ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CSIQ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CSIQ historically offers an average upside of +4.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CSIQ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.2%, CSIQ shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-4.16%) outweigh average wins (+3.00%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CSIQ shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.13%). This suggests CSIQ is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.