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DHT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2024-08-15

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

DHT HOLDINGS, INC.
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 13, 2005 🔗 www.dhtankers.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.19B 👥 Employees: 924
DHT Holdings Inc is a crude oil tanker company. Its fleet trades internationally and consists of crude oil tankers in the VLCC. The group generates revenues from time charter and spot market operations. It operates through integrated management companies in Monaco, Norway, Singapore, and India. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the shipping revenues.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
33.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-1.23%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.57%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.23%
Avg Winner: +1.11%
Avg Loser: -2.39%
Best: +2.00%
Worst: -9.54%
Trades: 3/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.73%
Avg Winner: +1.44%
Avg Loser: -1.82%
Best: +2.81%
Worst: -2.71%
Trades: 3/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -1.17%
Avg Winner: +0.98%
Avg Loser: -1.78%
Best: +1.36%
Worst: -5.24%
Trades: 2/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -1.36%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -1.99%
Best: +1.50%
Worst: -6.05%
Trades: 2/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.06%
Avg Winner: +2.18%
Avg Loser: -2.68%
Best: +2.99%
Worst: -8.57%
Trades: 3/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.57%
Best MFE: +4.17%
Avg Time to MFE: 108 min

On average, DHT alerts reach +1.57% profit potential within 108 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.21%
Worst MAE: -11.84%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.21%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.71:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, DHT typically reaches +1.57% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.23%
Best Gap +1.00%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DHT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-08-15 09:26:39 $11.02 +2.00% +2.81% +1.36% +1.50% +2.99% +4.17% - +1.00% WIN
2023-08-22 09:27:00 $9.8 -0.51% -1.07% -1.17% -0.82% -1.02% +0.20% -0.41% -0.31% LOSS
2023-08-21 09:25:00 $10.14 -0.59% -0.79% -0.59% -0.54% -0.49% +0.59% -0.69% -0.39% LOSS
2023-05-04 09:25:00 $8.28 -9.54% +0.85% -0.85% -0.30% -0.24% +2.66% -11.84% -2.54% LOSS
2023-04-03 09:25:00 $10.5 +0.38% -2.71% -5.24% -6.05% -8.57% +0.95% - +0.86% WIN
2022-03-29 09:25:00 $5.42 -1.11% -2.68% -0.83% -0.28% +2.21% +3.51% -3.23% -0.92% LOSS
2022-03-09 09:25:00 $6.0 -1.33% -2.08% -3.25% -2.75% -4.00% +0.33% - - LOSS
2022-03-03 09:25:00 $6.3 -1.27% -1.59% -0.56% -3.17% -1.75% +0.16% -3.17% -0.32% LOSS
2022-01-07 09:25:00 $5.27 +0.95% +0.66% +0.59% +0.19% +1.33% +1.52% -0.57% +0.57% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ DHT Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -1.23% average gain, DHT alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider DHT for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze DHT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DHT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DHT historically offers an average upside of +1.57% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DHT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, DHT shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests DHT may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: DHT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.23%). This suggests DHT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.