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DQ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 37 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-28 → 2024-12-24

⚠️ Small sample size (37 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Daqo New Energy Corp. American Depositary Shares (each representing 5 Ordinary Shares)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 07, 2010 🔗 www.dqsolar.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.82B 👥 Employees: 4,749
Daqo New Energy Corp is a polysilicon manufacturer based in China. The company manufactures and sells high-purity polysilicon to manufacturers who use it to make ingots, cells, and modules for solar power solutions. The polysilicon is packaged to meet crucible stacking, pulling, and solidification needs. All of the company's revenues come from the People's Republic of China.
📊
37
Total Alerts
🎯
51.4%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.31%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+4.77%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.6%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.84%
Avg Loser: -1.92%
Best: +4.80%
Worst: -11.35%
Trades: 18/17

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.6%
Avg Gain: -0.36%
Avg Winner: +2.24%
Avg Loser: -2.82%
Best: +4.80%
Worst: -11.08%
Trades: 18/19

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.4%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +2.62%
Avg Loser: -3.39%
Best: +7.73%
Worst: -13.77%
Trades: 19/18

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.4%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +4.16%
Avg Loser: -3.84%
Best: +18.72%
Worst: -12.41%
Trades: 19/18

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.4%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +4.60%
Avg Loser: -4.78%
Best: +15.18%
Worst: -12.95%
Trades: 19/18

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.77%
Best MFE: +21.94%
Avg Time to MFE: 96 min

On average, DQ alerts reach +4.77% profit potential within 96 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.39%
Worst MAE: -8.19%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.39%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.43:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.43x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 37 alerts, DQ typically reaches +4.77% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 37
Gap Up % 51.4%
Avg Gap +0.13%
Best Gap +2.71%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DQ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-24 09:25:19 $18.9 +3.12% +2.49% +0.87% +0.56% +1.59% +5.19% - +0.05% WIN
2024-11-06 09:25:20 $21.0 +2.05% +2.38% +0.84% +5.33% +1.43% +7.14% -0.29% +2.71% WIN
2024-10-30 09:29:25 $24.0 -5.21% -3.29% +1.50% +3.65% -7.25% +5.00% -6.12% +0.04% LOSS
2024-10-29 09:26:33 $25.86 -11.35% -11.08% -13.77% -12.41% -12.95% +0.54% -0.77% -0.77% LOSS
2024-10-28 09:26:17 $25.3 +0.20% -2.04% +0.08% +18.72% +15.18% +21.94% -3.91% -0.59% WIN
2024-10-25 09:25:43 $24.54 -0.29% +2.53% +6.85% +2.97% +4.08% +7.91% -0.49% +0.47% LOSS
2024-10-23 09:29:27 $22.9 -0.04% -0.17% -1.44% -0.96% -2.93% +1.75% -3.93% +0.09% LOSS
2024-10-08 09:25:17 $22.31 +1.79% -2.13% -4.27% -1.66% -6.14% +1.97% - +1.79% WIN
2024-10-02 09:27:24 $22.25 -2.20% -6.16% -4.45% -1.71% +0.40% +1.12% -7.64% +0.76% LOSS
2024-08-26 09:29:35 $13.96 -0.39% +0.61% +2.58% +1.43% +5.23% +8.17% -2.44% +0.29% LOSS
2024-05-29 09:29:24 $19.94 +3.61% +3.42% +4.16% +7.72% +6.72% +9.40% +0.30% +1.81% WIN
2024-05-22 09:25:19 $20.22 +0.84% +4.80% +4.75% +7.81% +10.63% +13.75% -0.10% - WIN
2024-02-05 09:28:32 $17.85 -2.89% -1.82% -1.46% -2.41% -0.34% +0.11% -3.08% -1.96% LOSS
2023-12-28 09:29:00 $26.21 +4.12% +3.62% +3.55% +2.67% +1.30% +5.53% +0.04% +0.76% WIN
2023-12-20 09:28:00 $24.0 +1.77% +2.17% +0.85% +1.29% -3.04% +3.00% +0.38% +0.38% WIN
2023-12-15 09:26:00 $23.59 +0.34% +0.42% +1.99% +2.44% +0.59% +3.82% -0.81% -0.38% WIN
2023-12-01 09:25:00 $23.44 +0.38% +1.05% +0.98% +3.41% +5.72% +6.19% -0.17% -0.13% WIN
2023-11-16 09:25:00 $28.3 - -0.64% -2.40% -1.91% -1.73% +0.67% -1.41% -0.95% -
2023-08-03 09:26:00 $33.92 +2.89% +3.86% +3.38% +1.09% +1.24% +5.90% -0.47% -0.12% WIN
2023-06-30 09:29:00 $38.4 -1.04% -0.44% +0.26% +1.75% +3.39% +4.71% -1.74% -0.03% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ DQ Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.4% win rate, DQ has -0.31% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making DQ profitable.

🔧 Fix DQ Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze DQ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DQ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DQ historically offers an average upside of +4.77% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DQ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.4%, DQ shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-3.39%) outweigh average wins (+2.62%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: DQ shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.31%). This suggests DQ is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.