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Latest signal:

DUST Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 246 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-27 → 2024-11-01

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Dec 08, 2010
📊
246
Total Alerts
🎯
74.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+464.02%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.60%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.2%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.86%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +3.57%
Worst: -2.87%
Trades: 128/102

15MIN

Win Rate: 56.7%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +1.29%
Avg Loser: -1.26%
Best: +8.24%
Worst: -5.36%
Trades: 139/103

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.7%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.42%
Avg Loser: -1.43%
Best: +6.52%
Worst: -4.60%
Trades: 129/114

60MIN

Win Rate: 52.2%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.82%
Avg Loser: -1.97%
Best: +8.60%
Worst: -7.66%
Trades: 128/109

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 74.0%
Avg Gain: +464.02%
Avg Winner: +628.12%
Avg Loser: -2.68%
Best: +963.17%
Worst: -11.72%
Trades: 182/63

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.60%
Best MFE: +15.99%
Avg Time to MFE: 109 min

On average, DUST alerts reach +2.60% profit potential within 109 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.90%
Worst MAE: -7.63%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.90%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.9:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.9x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 246 alerts, DUST typically reaches +2.60% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 246
Gap Up % 50.4%
Avg Gap +0.07%
Best Gap +1.19%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DUST alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-01 09:28:55 $5.11 -0.59% -0.88% +0.20% +0.23% +3.33% +3.52% -1.37% +0.20% LOSS
2024-10-31 09:28:08 $5.05 +0.49% +1.08% +2.24% +2.40% +919.80% +4.36% -0.40% -0.20% WIN
2024-10-30 09:29:01 $4.76 +3.57% +3.89% +3.33% +3.26% +927.31% +4.83% - +0.63% WIN
2024-10-29 09:27:56 $4.83 +0.10% +0.93% -0.41% -1.35% -1.45% +1.24% -0.62% - WIN
2024-10-28 09:29:34 $4.9 -0.41% -0.31% - +0.24% +902.04% +1.02% +0.31% +0.41% LOSS
2024-10-25 09:25:48 $4.77 +1.47% +1.75% +1.68% +0.63% +923.06% +2.94% -0.73% +0.63% WIN
2024-10-24 09:27:24 $4.44 +2.03% +3.65% +3.49% +5.86% +6.76% +10.14% +0.11% +0.45% WIN
2024-10-23 09:25:23 $4.43 +0.68% +0.68% - +1.35% +918.06% +3.16% -0.68% +0.45% WIN
2024-10-22 09:26:43 $4.42 -0.45% -0.42% -0.47% -0.04% -2.04% +0.45% -0.34% +0.45% LOSS
2024-10-21 09:29:28 $4.41 -0.68% -0.52% -0.79% +0.57% +2.49% +3.17% -1.36% +0.23% LOSS
2024-10-18 09:25:17 $4.8 +0.44% -0.42% -2.06% -2.19% -5.42% +0.94% - - WIN
2024-10-17 09:25:11 $4.94 +0.61% +0.08% -1.01% -1.21% -0.40% +1.01% - +0.61% WIN
2024-10-16 09:28:22 $5.0 -2.20% -1.40% -0.40% -0.70% +0.60% +1.40% -2.90% - LOSS
2024-10-15 09:26:53 $5.26 - +0.10% +0.57% -1.90% +871.48% +0.76% -0.76% -0.19% -
2024-10-10 09:26:54 $5.55 - +0.54% -1.35% -1.26% -4.50% +1.54% -0.53% - -
2024-10-07 09:25:19 $5.44 +1.65% +2.58% +1.75% +2.29% +918.38% +3.12% +0.55% +0.74% WIN
2024-10-04 09:25:40 $5.41 +0.37% -0.83% -0.46% -0.46% +900.00% +1.11% -0.37% +0.18% WIN
2024-10-03 09:29:27 $5.31 +0.75% +0.56% +0.94% +1.51% +915.07% +2.82% - - WIN
2024-10-02 09:25:40 $5.16 -0.48% +0.85% -0.68% -0.19% +903.88% +2.25% -1.55% - LOSS
2024-09-30 09:26:40 $5.27 +0.00% +1.14% +1.23% +1.53% +913.28% +3.51% -0.47% +0.19% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 74.0% Baseline on DUST

The 74.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push DUST's performance to 75%+.

Optimize DUST Strategy →

Why Analyze DUST with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DUST. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DUST historically offers an average upside of +2.60% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DUST Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 74.0%, DUST shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show DUST performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +464.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.