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Latest signal:

FACT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-03 → 2023-06-29

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

FACT II Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares BLANK CHECKS (SIC 6770)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 20, 2024 🔗 www.freedomac2.com
💰 Market Cap: $254.6M
FACT II Acquisition Corp is a blank check company.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.19%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.50%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +0.19%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.19%
Worst: +0.19%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.33%
Avg Winner: +0.33%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.57%
Worst: +0.10%
Trades: 2/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.10%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -0.10%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +0.27%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.57%
Worst: +0.00%
Trades: 3/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.50%
Best MFE: +1.42%
Avg Time to MFE: 20 min

On average, FACT alerts reach +0.50% profit potential within 20 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.07%
Worst MAE: -0.10%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.07%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

7.2:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 7.2x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, FACT typically reaches +0.50% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.13%
Best Gap +0.38%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BLANK CHECKS

How FACT compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FACT: +0.00% Sector: -2.88% +2.88%
EOD Gain
FACT: +0.00% Sector: +228.91% -228.91%
Avg MFE
FACT: +0.00% Sector: +11.25% -11.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FACT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-06-29 09:26:00 $10.54 +0.19% +0.57% - - +0.57% +1.42% +0.09% +0.09% WIN
2023-05-31 09:28:00 $10.46 +0.19% - - - +0.14% +0.38% +0.38% +0.38% WIN
2023-02-22 09:29:00 $10.19 - +0.10% - - - +0.10% -0.10% -0.10% -
2022-10-03 09:25:00 $9.92 - - -0.10% - +0.10% +0.10% -0.10% - -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on FACT

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FACT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FACT Strategy →

Why Analyze FACT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FACT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FACT historically offers an average upside of +0.50% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FACT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, FACT shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FACT performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.19%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.