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FARM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-06-07 → 2025-02-10

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.farmerbros.com
💰 Market Cap: $33.9M 👥 Employees: 865
Farmer Bros Co is engaged in manufacturing, wholesaling, and distributing coffee, tea, and culinary products to food-service establishments and retailers in the United States. The company's customers include restaurants, hotels, offices, casinos, convenience stores, healthcare facilities, and other food-service providers. The company's product categories include roast and ground coffee, frozen liquid coffee, flavored and unflavored iced and hot teas, culinary products, spices, and other beverages, such as cappuccino, cocoa, granitas, and ready-to-drink iced coffee.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
80.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+4.88%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+13.38%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +3.54%
Avg Winner: +7.00%
Avg Loser: -1.67%
Best: +19.08%
Worst: -1.99%
Trades: 3/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +4.88%
Avg Winner: +6.41%
Avg Loser: -1.22%
Best: +13.86%
Worst: -1.22%
Trades: 4/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +2.91%
Avg Winner: +6.42%
Avg Loser: -2.34%
Best: +9.55%
Worst: -2.45%
Trades: 3/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +1.56%
Avg Winner: +6.05%
Avg Loser: -5.17%
Best: +13.46%
Worst: -7.64%
Trades: 3/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +6.86%
Avg Loser: -4.94%
Best: +9.30%
Worst: -7.17%
Trades: 2/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +13.38%
Best MFE: +28.64%
Avg Time to MFE: 18 min

On average, FARM alerts reach +13.38% profit potential within 18 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.09%
Worst MAE: -5.38%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.09%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

6.41:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 6.41x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, FARM typically reaches +13.38% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 10.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 60.0%
Avg Gap +1.53%
Best Gap +5.91%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MISCELLANEOUS FOOD PREPARATIONS & KINDRED PRODUCTS

How FARM compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FARM: +3.54% Sector: +0.70% +2.83%
EOD Gain
FARM: -0.22% Sector: +0.13% -0.35%
Avg MFE
FARM: +13.38% Sector: +5.74% +7.64%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FARM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-10 09:26:30 $2.23 -1.35% +3.14% -2.24% -2.69% -7.17% +5.83% -5.38% - LOSS
2025-02-07 09:25:59 $2.2 +19.08% +13.86% +9.55% +4.05% -0.91% +28.64% -0.45% +5.91% WIN
2023-06-09 09:25:00 $3.27 +1.22% -1.22% -2.45% -7.64% -6.73% +2.45% - +1.71% WIN
2023-06-08 09:26:00 $3.17 +0.71% +5.98% +5.05% +0.63% +4.42% +8.04% -0.95% -0.32% WIN
2023-06-07 09:29:00 $3.01 -1.99% +2.66% +4.65% +13.46% +9.30% +21.93% -3.65% +0.33% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 80.0% Baseline on FARM

The 80.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FARM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FARM Strategy →

Why Analyze FARM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FARM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FARM historically offers an average upside of +13.38% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FARM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 80.0%, FARM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FARM performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +4.88%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.