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Latest signal:

FB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 109 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2022-06-08

🏢 Company Profile

ProShares S&P 500 Dynamic Buffer ETF
📍 CBOE BZX 📅 IPO: Jun 26, 2025
📊
109
Total Alerts
🎯
56.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.15%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.05%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.3%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.41%
Avg Loser: -0.35%
Best: +2.29%
Worst: -1.59%
Trades: 57/51

15MIN

Win Rate: 55.0%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.86%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: +3.57%
Worst: -2.83%
Trades: 60/49

30MIN

Win Rate: 56.0%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.02%
Avg Loser: -0.95%
Best: +3.88%
Worst: -2.94%
Trades: 61/48

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.0%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.26%
Avg Loser: -1.24%
Best: +3.82%
Worst: -4.23%
Trades: 60/48

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.8%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +2.26%
Avg Loser: -2.08%
Best: +9.06%
Worst: -6.76%
Trades: 51/58

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.05%
Best MFE: +9.45%
Avg Time to MFE: 134 min

On average, FB alerts reach +2.05% profit potential within 134 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.70%
Worst MAE: -4.69%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.70%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.94:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.94x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 109 alerts, FB typically reaches +2.05% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 109
Gap Up % 45.9%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +1.11%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-06-08 09:25:00 $194.29 +0.57% +1.65% +2.58% +3.06% +1.21% +3.98% -0.05% +0.20% WIN
2022-06-07 09:25:00 $191.98 +0.21% +1.08% +0.81% +0.94% +1.91% +2.37% -0.26% -0.03% WIN
2022-06-06 09:25:00 $193.07 +0.66% -0.39% -0.70% +0.37% +0.61% +1.99% -2.42% +0.48% WIN
2022-06-03 09:25:00 $195.9 -0.28% -0.21% -0.43% -1.01% -2.61% +0.36% -0.57% +0.04% LOSS
2022-06-02 09:25:00 $188.07 +0.02% +0.75% +1.43% +1.11% +5.74% +6.84% -0.18% +0.20% WIN
2022-06-01 09:25:00 $196.7 -0.01% +0.84% +1.36% -0.76% -4.10% +1.44% -0.36% -0.10% LOSS
2022-05-31 09:25:00 $194.64 -0.02% -0.68% -0.55% -0.34% -0.51% +1.52% -1.35% +0.13% LOSS
2022-05-27 09:25:00 $191.25 -0.48% +0.63% +0.36% +1.49% +2.03% +2.13% -0.76% +0.06% LOSS
2022-05-26 09:25:00 $182.82 -0.05% +0.86% +1.47% +2.41% +4.82% +5.48% -0.31% +0.03% LOSS
2022-05-25 09:25:00 $180.69 +0.79% +0.81% -0.41% +0.39% +1.74% +2.63% -0.76% -0.16% WIN
2022-05-24 09:25:00 $180.53 +0.09% -1.27% -1.60% -1.90% +0.42% +1.74% -0.50% +0.01% WIN
2022-05-23 09:25:00 $195.19 -0.50% -0.87% -0.78% -1.08% +0.53% +0.92% -2.02% - LOSS
2022-05-20 09:25:00 $194.12 +0.81% +1.41% +1.27% +1.11% -0.30% +1.95% -0.18% +0.44% WIN
2022-05-19 09:25:00 $191.28 -0.27% +0.64% +1.36% +1.10% +0.01% +2.10% -0.88% -0.04% LOSS
2022-05-18 09:25:00 $199.23 +0.05% +0.30% -0.01% +0.06% -3.51% +0.89% -0.36% +0.39% WIN
2022-05-17 09:25:00 $203.16 -0.38% +0.44% +0.59% -0.28% -0.27% +1.13% -0.83% -0.51% LOSS
2022-05-16 09:25:00 $197.2 +0.05% +2.18% +1.47% +1.67% +1.44% +4.14% -0.64% -0.08% WIN
2022-05-13 09:25:00 $193.6 -0.23% +0.10% +1.21% +2.19% +2.59% +3.25% -1.20% -0.53% LOSS
2022-05-12 09:25:00 $186.8 +0.70% -0.65% -0.25% +3.65% +2.38% +6.02% -1.08% +0.14% WIN
2022-05-11 09:25:00 $196.25 +0.13% -0.36% +0.86% +1.00% -3.83% +2.25% -1.08% +0.04% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 56.0% Baseline on FB

The 56.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FB Strategy →

Why Analyze FB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FB historically offers an average upside of +2.05% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.0%, FB shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FB performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.15%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.