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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$FBL

Trade-Ideas alerts 48.3% at EOD n=149 2024-03-13 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Long META Daily ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 12, 2022
Total alerts
149
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
48.3%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+0.12%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.22%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading FBL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.6%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: +5.72%
Worst: -4.73%
Trades: 62/86

15MIN

Win Rate: 39.6%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +1.86%
Avg Loser: -1.56%
Best: +7.49%
Worst: -8.29%
Trades: 59/89

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.6%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +2.11%
Avg Loser: -1.77%
Best: +11.11%
Worst: -7.28%
Trades: 62/85

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.6%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +2.46%
Avg Loser: -2.12%
Best: +12.96%
Worst: -7.74%
Trades: 65/83

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.3%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +3.42%
Avg Loser: -2.97%
Best: +17.58%
Worst: -12.18%
Trades: 72/77

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.22%
Best MFE: +20.98%
Avg Time to MFE: 121 min

On average, FBL alerts reach +3.22% profit potential within 121 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.30%
Worst MAE: -6.63%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.30%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.48:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.48x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 149 alerts, FBL typically reaches +3.22% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 149
Gap Up % 44.3%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +2.41%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FBL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $32.5 +1.54% -0.22% -0.65% +0.03% -1.54% +1.97% -0.34% -0.34% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $32.18 +0.17% +0.50% +0.00% -1.09% -1.09% +1.52% -0.37% -0.33% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $32.06 -0.33% -0.24% +1.26% -0.60% -0.71% +2.72% -1.89% +0.54% LOSS
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $31.84 -0.53% -0.36% -0.60% -0.63% +3.80% +4.08% -2.64% -0.28% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $33.67 -1.98% -5.38% -6.30% -6.18% -7.81% +1.57% -0.12% +1.43% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $35.82 -1.09% -3.36% -2.92% -4.30% -4.19% +0.78% +0.26% +0.08% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $33.2 +5.72% +5.99% +5.21% +7.83% +10.72% +11.39% -0.24% +2.41% WIN
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $33.9 -1.36% +0.94% +3.51% +0.29% -0.38% +4.78% -1.36% +0.03% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $32.53 +2.67% +6.12% +3.57% +5.59% +1.69% +7.45% -0.12% +0.46% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $28.5 +2.91% +5.80% +7.89% +9.23% +17.58% +20.98% -0.07% +0.18% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $28.91 +1.24% -2.29% -2.50% -3.22% -5.57% +1.59% +0.17% +0.55% WIN
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $28.6 +0.42% -0.59% -0.10% -0.07% -2.10% +1.29% -1.24% -0.42% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $26.72 -0.15% +0.86% +0.95% -1.53% +2.40% +3.22% -2.51% -0.11% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $26.43 -0.98% +1.66% +0.45% -0.08% -1.82% +3.10% -1.44% -0.68% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $26.37 -0.95% +1.86% -2.58% +0.17% -2.62% +3.30% -1.55% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $26.09 -1.92% -0.77% -0.46% -2.34% +1.23% +2.61% -2.87% +0.23% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $23.17 +1.38% -1.45% -0.73% -0.13% +2.07% +2.24% -1.68% +0.65% WIN
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $22.78 +1.40% +3.38% +3.34% +1.95% +1.93% +4.74% -0.44% -0.22% WIN
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $19.46 -0.31% +1.34% +3.19% +4.01% +7.40% +9.61% -0.95% -0.31% LOSS
2026-08-31 09:25:00 $20.82 -1.37% -1.72% -1.61% -2.42% -1.70% +0.26% -0.27% +0.02% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 48.3% Baseline on FBL

The 48.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push FBL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FBL Strategy →

Why Analyze FBL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FBL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FBL historically offers an average upside of +3.22% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FBL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.3%, FBL shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FBL performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.12%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.