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Ticker Report — No recent alerts Last signal ·

$FOSL

Trade-Ideas alerts 0.0% at 5-min n=1 2024-12-03 → 2024-12-03

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 1 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 08, 1993 🔗 www.fossilgroup.com
💰 Market Cap: $476.7M 👥 Employees: 4,500
Fossil Group Inc is a design, innovation, and distribution company in consumer fashion accessories, offering products such as watches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It designs, develops, markets, and distributes products under its owned brands FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC. It operates through Americas, Europe, and Asia segments, each including sales to wholesale and distributor customers, as well as Company-owned retail stores and e-commerce activities based on the location of the selling entity. The Americas segment contributes the majority of revenue and includes sales across Canada, Latin America, and the United States, while the Europe and Asia segments cover their respective regions. Each segment provides similar products and services.
Total alerts
1
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
0.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-3.82%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
-0.43%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading FOSL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.82%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.82%
Best: -3.82%
Worst: -3.82%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -9.00%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -9.00%
Best: -9.00%
Worst: -9.00%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -9.52%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -9.52%
Best: -9.52%
Worst: -9.52%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.03%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.03%
Best: -6.03%
Worst: -6.03%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -8.66%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -8.66%
Best: -8.66%
Worst: -8.66%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: -0.43%
Best MFE: -0.43%
Avg Time to MFE: 0 min

On average, FOSL alerts reach -0.43% profit potential within 0 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -9.95%
Worst MAE: -9.95%
Avg Time to MAE: 0 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 9.95%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.04:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, FOSL typically reaches -0.43% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around -0.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.43%
Best Gap -0.43%

🏭 Sector Comparison: WATCHES, CLOCKS, CLOCKWORK OPERATED DEVICES/PARTS

How FOSL compares to 1 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FOSL: -3.82% Sector: -3.82% +0.00%
EOD Gain
FOSL: -8.66% Sector: -8.66% +0.00%
Avg MFE
FOSL: -0.43% Sector: -0.43% +0.00%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FOSL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-03 09:29:07 $2.31 -3.82% -9.00% -9.52% -6.03% -8.66% -0.43% -9.95% -0.43% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ FOSL Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -3.82% average gain, FOSL alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider FOSL for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze FOSL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FOSL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FOSL historically offers an average upside of -0.43% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FOSL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, FOSL shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests FOSL may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: FOSL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -3.82%). This suggests FOSL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.