FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

FRPT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-04 → 2023-12-22

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 07, 2014 🔗 www.freshpet.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.49B 👥 Employees: 1,296
Freshpet produces and sells premium fresh pet food through its company-owned refrigerators placed in grocery, mass and club, pet specialty, and natural stores. Freshpet primarily targets dogs (96% of 2024 sales), with cats and treats comprising the rest of its sales. Geographically, the company's home US market, where all its food is produced, accounts for about 98% of sales, with exports to Canada, the United Kingdom, and other European countries accounting for the remaining balance.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.16%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.00%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: +0.79%
Worst: -1.02%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.60%
Avg Winner: +1.22%
Avg Loser: -0.64%
Best: +1.77%
Worst: -0.64%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +0.96%
Worst: -0.97%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +0.58%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +0.58%
Worst: -1.74%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.58%
Avg Winner: +0.29%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: +0.29%
Worst: -1.08%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.00%
Best MFE: +1.81%
Avg Time to MFE: 16 min

On average, FRPT alerts reach +1.00% profit potential within 16 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.19%
Worst MAE: -0.22%
Avg Time to MAE: 1 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.19%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.4:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.4x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, FRPT typically reaches +1.00% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +0.33%

🏭 Sector Comparison: GRAIN MILL PRODUCTS

How FRPT compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FRPT: +0.16% Sector: +0.08% +0.08%
EOD Gain
FRPT: -0.58% Sector: -0.34% -0.25%
Avg MFE
FRPT: +1.00% Sector: +1.55% -0.54%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FRPT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-12-22 09:27:00 $85.03 +0.79% +1.77% +0.53% +0.58% +0.29% +1.81% -0.15% +0.33% WIN
2023-11-29 09:28:00 $70.66 +0.72% +0.68% +0.96% -0.01% -0.96% +1.20% -0.18% -0.18% WIN
2022-05-04 09:25:00 $81.5 -1.02% -0.64% -0.97% -1.74% -1.08% - -0.22% -0.26% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on FRPT

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FRPT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FRPT Strategy →

Why Analyze FRPT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FRPT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FRPT historically offers an average upside of +1.00% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FRPT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, FRPT shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FRPT performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.16%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.