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FTEK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-08 → 2023-08-09

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 07, 1993 🔗 www.ftek.com
💰 Market Cap: $47.2M 👥 Employees: 72
Fuel Tech Inc is an technology provider of boiler optimization, efficiency improvement, and air pollution reduction to utility and industrial customers. The company operates in two segments, Air Pollution Control and Fuel Chem. The Air Pollution Control technology segment includes technologies to reduce NOx emissions in flue gas from boilers, incinerators, furnaces and other stationary combustion sources. The Fuel Chem technology segment uses chemical processes in combination with Computational Fluid Dynamics and Chemical Kinetics Modeling boiler modeling for the control of slagging, fouling, corrosion, opacity and other sulfur trioxide-related issues in furnaces and boilers through the addition of chemicals into the furnace using TIFI Targeted In-Furnace Injection technology.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.37%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+6.03%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.37%
Avg Winner: +1.96%
Avg Loser: -1.21%
Best: +3.22%
Worst: -1.68%
Trades: 2/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +2.86%
Avg Loser: -1.75%
Best: +2.86%
Worst: -2.19%
Trades: 1/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.28%
Avg Winner: +2.99%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: +3.64%
Worst: -0.84%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.93%
Avg Winner: +1.93%
Avg Loser: -1.88%
Best: +1.93%
Worst: -2.94%
Trades: 1/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.98%
Avg Winner: +2.97%
Avg Loser: -4.94%
Best: +5.19%
Worst: -9.03%
Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.03%
Best MFE: +14.07%
Avg Time to MFE: 125 min

On average, FTEK alerts reach +6.03% profit potential within 125 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.04%
Worst MAE: -5.19%
Avg Time to MAE: 25 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.04%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.95:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.95x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, FTEK typically reaches +6.03% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.37%
Best Gap +0.84%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INDUSTRIAL & COMMERCIAL FANS & BLOWERS & AIR PURIFING EQUIP

How FTEK compares to 2 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FTEK: +1.06% Sector: +1.15% -0.09%
EOD Gain
FTEK: -1.03% Sector: -3.54% +2.51%
Avg MFE
FTEK: +7.49% Sector: +6.16% +1.32%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FTEK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-08-09 09:26:00 $1.19 -1.68% - -0.84% -2.94% -0.84% +1.68% -0.84% +0.84% LOSS
2023-04-26 09:26:00 $1.33 +0.70% +2.86% +2.33% -0.76% +0.75% +4.51% -1.50% - WIN
2023-04-25 09:27:00 $1.55 +3.22% -1.32% - -1.93% -9.03% +3.87% -0.65% +0.65% WIN
2022-03-08 09:25:00 $1.35 -0.74% -2.19% +3.64% +1.93% +5.19% +14.07% -5.19% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on FTEK

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FTEK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FTEK Strategy →

Why Analyze FTEK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FTEK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FTEK historically offers an average upside of +6.03% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FTEK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, FTEK shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FTEK performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.37%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.