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GAU Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-07 → 2025-01-29

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Galiano Gold Inc.
📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Jan 02, 2008 🔗 www.galianogold.com
💰 Market Cap: $694.3M 👥 Employees: 414
Galiano Gold Inc is focused on building a sustainable business capable of long term value creation for its stakeholders through a combination of exploration, accretive acquisitions, and disciplined deployment of its financial resources. The company currently operates and manages: Nkran, Esaase, Abore and Miradani North, multiple satellite deposits and exploration projects located on the Asankrangwa Gold Belt in the Amansie West District of the Republic of Ghana (Ghana), West Africa.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.39%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+2.94%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: -0.61%
Avg Winner: +2.00%
Avg Loser: -4.10%
Best: +5.00%
Worst: -4.70%
Trades: 4/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.34%
Avg Winner: +2.87%
Avg Loser: -2.19%
Best: +5.84%
Worst: -3.60%
Trades: 3/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.43%
Avg Winner: +2.89%
Avg Loser: -2.85%
Best: +7.74%
Worst: -3.70%
Trades: 4/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.39%
Avg Winner: +2.15%
Avg Loser: -3.14%
Best: +5.33%
Worst: -3.39%
Trades: 4/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.61%
Avg Winner: +4.12%
Avg Loser: -4.06%
Best: +5.82%
Worst: -5.94%
Trades: 4/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.94%
Best MFE: +7.76%
Avg Time to MFE: 153 min

On average, GAU alerts reach +2.94% profit potential within 153 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.54%
Worst MAE: -6.90%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.54%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.16:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, GAU typically reaches +2.94% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 57.1%
Avg Gap +0.39%
Best Gap +5.39%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GAU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-29 09:29:35 $1.16 -3.88% -2.16% +0.86% +0.86% +1.72% +4.74% -6.90% +2.59% LOSS
2023-12-22 09:26:00 $0.83 +2.52% +2.13% +2.64% +2.40% +3.49% +4.57% +0.96% +2.76% WIN
2023-03-20 09:27:00 $0.51 +5.00% +5.84% +7.74% +5.33% +5.82% +7.76% +1.96% +5.39% WIN
2022-07-08 09:25:00 $0.4 -3.73% -3.60% -1.98% - -3.50% - -3.73% -3.73% LOSS
2022-05-10 09:25:00 $0.43 +0.23% +0.65% -2.88% -2.88% -5.94% +0.69% -3.11% -3.11% WIN
2022-03-09 09:25:00 $0.62 +0.26% -0.81% +0.32% +0.02% +5.45% +3.63% -1.61% +3.50% WIN
2022-03-07 09:25:00 $0.64 -4.70% - -3.70% -3.39% -2.73% -0.81% -5.33% -4.69% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on GAU

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push GAU's performance to 75%+.

Optimize GAU Strategy →

Why Analyze GAU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GAU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GAU historically offers an average upside of +2.94% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GAU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, GAU shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show GAU performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.39%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.