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GLMD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 16 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 → 2024-09-25

⚠️ Small sample size (16 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Galmed Pharmaceuticals Ltd.
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 13, 2014 🔗 www.galmedpharma.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.3M 👥 Employees: 6
Galmed Pharmaceuticals Ltd is a biopharmaceutical company. It focuses on the development of Aramchol. exclusively on developing Aramchol for the treatment of liver disease and were previously developing Aramchol for primary sclerosing cholangitis, PSC, and exploring the feasibility of developing Aramchol for other fibro-inflammatory indications outside of NASH and fibrosis. The company is currently seeking to advance the development of Aramchol for oncological indications outside of NASH and fibrosis.
📊
16
Total Alerts
🎯
43.8%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+2423.10%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+12.53%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 18.8%
Avg Gain: -1.58%
Avg Winner: +6.39%
Avg Loser: -4.04%
Best: +11.19%
Worst: -8.56%
Trades: 3/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -4.96%
Avg Winner: +1.55%
Avg Loser: -7.13%
Best: +3.92%
Worst: -18.87%
Trades: 4/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -3.20%
Avg Winner: +14.26%
Avg Loser: -9.02%
Best: +35.80%
Worst: -25.49%
Trades: 4/12

60MIN

Win Rate: 18.8%
Avg Gain: -5.11%
Avg Winner: +14.01%
Avg Loser: -9.53%
Best: +27.98%
Worst: -26.23%
Trades: 3/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: +2423.10%
Avg Winner: +5555.79%
Avg Loser: -13.43%
Best: +18935.23%
Worst: -33.65%
Trades: 7/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +12.53%
Best MFE: +47.29%
Avg Time to MFE: 118 min

On average, GLMD alerts reach +12.53% profit potential within 118 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -6.26%
Worst MAE: -23.53%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 6.26%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.0:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.0x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 16 alerts, GLMD typically reaches +12.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 10.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 16
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.83%
Best Gap +12.62%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GLMD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-25 09:25:04 $8.54 -2.69% -11.59% -9.84% -11.48% -16.98% -0.12% -0.12% -1.99% LOSS
2024-09-20 09:26:20 $9.83 +11.19% +3.92% +19.53% +10.44% -4.88% +28.18% -2.14% +0.20% WIN
2024-09-19 09:27:11 $9.22 -6.62% +1.63% +35.80% +27.98% -8.89% +47.29% -11.61% -1.30% LOSS
2024-09-18 09:25:50 $10.4 -2.69% -10.00% -7.40% -13.85% -33.65% +6.92% -0.67% +2.02% LOSS
2024-08-23 09:27:52 $0.32 -2.60% +0.11% -2.85% -1.00% -6.07% +3.22% -6.16% +2.35% LOSS
2024-08-22 09:29:16 $0.39 -8.32% -6.09% -7.87% -4.20% -12.69% +4.05% -9.90% -4.14% LOSS
2024-08-21 09:26:24 $0.37 -1.61% -6.64% -6.89% -15.22% +1310.99% +20.86% -17.94% -1.56% LOSS
2023-11-21 09:26:00 $0.34 -0.03% -1.15% -23.53% -17.62% +5.91% +11.76% -23.53% - LOSS
2023-07-24 09:26:00 $1.24 - -6.31% -6.44% -4.84% +1070.97% +4.31% -6.45% - -
2023-07-14 09:25:00 $2.04 -6.86% -18.87% -25.49% -26.23% -28.92% +3.92% -0.49% +3.92% LOSS
2023-07-13 09:27:00 $2.55 - -9.76% -7.06% -12.94% +878.82% +12.55% -1.18% +1.96% -
2023-05-08 09:28:00 $0.36 -1.93% +0.56% +0.56% +3.60% +0.75% +8.94% -4.75% -1.96% LOSS
2023-05-05 09:26:00 $0.39 -2.54% -1.58% -3.11% -5.47% +18935.23% +34.72% -7.75% +1.04% LOSS
2022-07-07 09:25:00 $0.65 -8.56% -9.75% -6.04% -6.59% +16687.82% +0.08% -8.56% +0.05% LOSS
2022-05-03 09:25:00 $0.96 +7.39% -1.72% +1.15% -0.98% -4.69% +12.62% +2.19% +12.62% WIN
2022-01-10 09:25:00 $1.7 +0.58% -2.06% -1.77% -3.44% -4.12% +1.18% -1.18% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 43.8% Baseline on GLMD

The 43.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push GLMD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize GLMD Strategy →

Why Analyze GLMD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GLMD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GLMD historically offers an average upside of +12.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GLMD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 43.8%, GLMD shows choppy price action, requiring strict filters or quick profit-taking.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show GLMD performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +2423.10%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.