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GRAB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 538 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Grab Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 02, 2021 🔗 www.grab.com
💰 Market Cap: $18.64B 👥 Employees: 11,267
Founded in 2012, Grab provides ride-sharing services, food and grocery delivery, and financial services (payments, consumer loans, and enterprise offerings) in eight Southeast-Asian countries through its mobile platform. The company partners with merchants and riders, connecting them with consumers while charging commission to both sides. Grab has a leading market share in and derives 89% of its revenue from its core businesses, ride-sharing and food delivery. Singapore, Indonesia, and Malaysia contributed more than 70% of revenue in 2024. Grab's main competitors in Southeast Asia are Line Man and Goto. Its financial services business is still in its nascent stage and provides minimal revenue currently. The company now also generates advertising revenue.
📊
538
Total Alerts
🎯
44.2%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.12%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+2.77%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.2%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +0.99%
Avg Loser: -1.14%
Best: +4.59%
Worst: -6.11%
Trades: 227/292

15MIN

Win Rate: 43.1%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.66%
Avg Loser: -1.60%
Best: +11.48%
Worst: -12.60%
Trades: 232/290

30MIN

Win Rate: 43.9%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.88%
Avg Loser: -1.80%
Best: +13.28%
Worst: -15.58%
Trades: 236/285

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.2%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +2.24%
Avg Loser: -2.09%
Best: +16.59%
Worst: -17.90%
Trades: 238/285

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.5%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +2.98%
Avg Loser: -2.75%
Best: +18.05%
Worst: -32.37%
Trades: 228/285

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.77%
Best MFE: +38.35%
Avg Time to MFE: 98 min

On average, GRAB alerts reach +2.77% profit potential within 98 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.25%
Worst MAE: -9.88%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.25%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.21:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.21x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 538 alerts, GRAB typically reaches +2.77% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 538
Gap Up % 27.5%
Avg Gap -0.13%
Best Gap +2.20%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GRAB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:06 $5.03 -1.79% -1.69% -0.80% -1.29% -2.58% +0.20% -2.19% -0.99% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:25:52 $5.1 -2.45% -4.10% -3.63% -3.92% -2.75% - -0.20% -0.59% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:25:08 $4.75 +0.11% +0.46% +2.42% +4.10% +5.26% +6.95% -0.42% - WIN
2025-02-11 09:27:40 $4.78 -0.52% -0.42% -0.10% -0.31% - +1.36% -1.15% +0.21% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:29:49 $4.79 -0.22% -0.31% -0.94% -1.15% -0.21% +0.94% - - LOSS
2025-02-07 09:27:40 $4.75 +0.42% -0.21% +0.41% +1.16% +0.84% +1.68% -1.26% -0.84% WIN
2025-02-06 09:26:00 $4.7 +0.11% -0.64% -1.25% -1.91% -0.64% +0.32% -0.43% -0.43% WIN
2025-02-05 09:26:45 $4.8 +1.77% +0.31% +1.56% +0.10% -5.00% +2.50% -1.04% - WIN
2025-02-04 09:26:10 $5.0 +0.10% +0.81% +2.36% +3.60% +2.20% +3.80% -1.40% -0.40% WIN
2025-02-03 09:25:21 $4.49 -0.33% - +0.56% +1.11% +1.11% +2.67% -1.22% - LOSS
2025-01-31 09:27:26 $4.7 -1.49% -0.74% -0.06% -0.88% -2.55% +0.21% -3.19% -0.21% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:25:04 $4.84 -1.76% -2.07% -1.55% -3.10% -4.13% +0.20% +0.20% -0.62% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:29:37 $4.55 +0.44% +0.11% +0.99% +1.87% +5.05% +5.27% -0.22% - WIN
2025-01-28 09:27:12 $4.5 -1.89% -1.89% -0.22% +0.12% +1.33% +1.78% -2.22% -0.22% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:28:38 $4.49 -0.78% -0.66% - +0.44% -1.11% +0.45% -1.34% -0.22% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:29:25 $4.65 -2.58% -1.83% -2.47% -2.90% -1.72% +0.43% -2.37% +0.43% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:28:34 $4.68 -2.03% -2.03% -2.03% -1.47% -0.85% +0.43% -1.71% - LOSS
2025-01-22 09:25:12 $4.64 -0.32% -0.32% -0.43% -0.97% +0.43% +0.86% -0.32% +0.32% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:27:16 $4.65 -2.04% -1.18% -1.72% -1.18% -0.86% +0.60% -2.37% +0.60% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:29:43 $4.48 +1.56% +2.90% +3.16% +2.12% +0.45% +3.35% -0.21% +0.45% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ GRAB Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.2% win rate and -0.12% average gain, GRAB alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider GRAB for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze GRAB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GRAB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GRAB historically offers an average upside of +2.77% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GRAB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.2%, GRAB shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests GRAB may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: GRAB shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.12%). This suggests GRAB is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.