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HIPO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-09 → 2024-03-06

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 03, 2021 🔗 www.hippo.com
💰 Market Cap: $782.9M 👥 Employees: 478
Hippo Holdings Inc is a home insurance group that created a new standard of care and protection for homeowners. It provides insurance for computers, home offices, electronics, appliances, water backup, and service line coverage, among others. It has three reportable segments Services segment earns fees and commission income without assuming underwriting risk or need for reinsurance, Insurance-as-a-Service managed through the company's subsidiary Spinnaker is a platform to support third-party MGAs, and the Hippo Home Insurance Program engaged in homeowners insurance business. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Insurance-as-a-Service segment.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1196.93%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+3.19%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.10%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.46%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -2.29%
Trades: 0/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.30%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.41%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -7.94%
Trades: 0/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.04%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.04%
Best: -0.49%
Worst: -7.00%
Trades: 0/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.34%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -8.46%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -12.97%
Trades: 0/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +1196.93%
Avg Winner: +1597.08%
Avg Loser: -3.53%
Best: +2395.00%
Worst: -3.53%
Trades: 3/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.19%
Best MFE: +10.56%
Avg Time to MFE: 100 min

On average, HIPO alerts reach +3.19% profit potential within 100 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.49%
Worst MAE: -20.51%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.49%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.58:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, HIPO typically reaches +3.19% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -2.23%
Best Gap +0.50%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE

How HIPO compares to 22 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HIPO: -1.10% Sector: +0.01% -1.10%
EOD Gain
HIPO: +1196.93% Sector: +58.36% +1138.57%
Avg MFE
HIPO: +3.19% Sector: +2.97% +0.21%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HIPO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-03-06 09:25:43 $17.89 -1.06% -7.94% -6.65% -12.97% +8.38% +10.56% -20.51% +0.50% LOSS
2022-08-12 09:25:00 $1.0 - -3.00% -7.00% -8.00% +2395.00% - - -5.00% -
2022-07-20 09:25:00 $0.83 -2.29% -2.28% -2.04% -4.40% -3.53% - - -3.45% LOSS
2022-02-09 09:25:00 $2.06 -1.03% - -0.49% - +2387.86% +2.18% -1.46% -0.97% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on HIPO

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HIPO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HIPO Strategy →

Why Analyze HIPO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HIPO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HIPO historically offers an average upside of +3.19% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HIPO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, HIPO shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HIPO performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1196.93%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.