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LEN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 37 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2025-01-21

⚠️ Small sample size (37 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 27, 1972 🔗 www.lennar.com
💰 Market Cap: $27.62B 👥 Employees: 13,265
Lennar is one of the largest public homebuilders in the United States. The company's homebuilding operations target first-time, move-up, active adult, and luxury homebuyers mainly under the Lennar brand name. Lennar's financial-services segment provides mortgage financing and related services to its homebuyers. Miami-based Lennar is also involved in multifamily and single-family for-rent construction and has invested in numerous housing-related technology startups.
📊
37
Total Alerts
🎯
63.9%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.31%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.73%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.99%
Avg Loser: -0.77%
Best: +2.55%
Worst: -2.53%
Trades: 20/16

15MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.23%
Avg Winner: +1.26%
Avg Loser: -1.07%
Best: +3.13%
Worst: -2.32%
Trades: 20/16

30MIN

Win Rate: 58.3%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +1.22%
Avg Loser: -1.07%
Best: +3.27%
Worst: -3.03%
Trades: 21/15

60MIN

Win Rate: 63.9%
Avg Gain: +0.31%
Avg Winner: +1.26%
Avg Loser: -1.38%
Best: +3.51%
Worst: -3.70%
Trades: 23/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 32.4%
Avg Gain: -1.33%
Avg Winner: +1.03%
Avg Loser: -2.47%
Best: +2.05%
Worst: -4.88%
Trades: 12/25

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.73%
Best MFE: +6.13%
Avg Time to MFE: 165 min

On average, LEN alerts reach +1.73% profit potential within 165 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.77%
Worst MAE: -3.40%
Avg Time to MAE: 32 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.77%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.23:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.23x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 37 alerts, LEN typically reaches +1.73% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 37
Gap Up % 45.9%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +1.62%

🏭 Sector Comparison: GENERAL BLDG CONTRACTORS - RESIDENTIAL BLDGS

How LEN compares to 2 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LEN: +0.21% Sector: +0.03% +0.17%
EOD Gain
LEN: -1.33% Sector: -0.52% -0.81%
Avg MFE
LEN: +1.71% Sector: +2.53% -0.82%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LEN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-21 09:28:49 $134.45 +1.38% +2.98% +1.40% +0.39% -0.97% +3.53% -0.33% +1.16% WIN
2025-01-10 09:25:21 $133.3 -0.88% -0.03% -0.90% -1.63% -2.81% +0.22% -1.07% -0.32% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:25:42 $154.75 -0.29% -0.11% -0.40% -0.68% -0.23% +0.25% -0.94% -0.54% LOSS
2024-10-11 09:26:13 $177.8 +0.78% +1.00% +1.02% +0.94% +0.22% +1.38% +0.49% +0.49% WIN
2024-10-02 09:25:23 $187.2 -0.53% -1.19% -0.06% -0.14% -0.05% +0.23% -1.45% -0.51% LOSS
2024-08-12 09:29:16 $170.12 -0.30% -1.20% -1.26% -0.37% -4.44% +0.04% -1.78% -0.13% LOSS
2024-06-28 09:28:03 $148.3 +1.15% +0.97% +0.99% +1.23% +1.06% +1.72% +0.40% +0.47% WIN
2024-04-29 09:29:34 $155.89 -0.36% -0.74% -0.50% -0.44% -3.46% +0.37% -0.51% -0.38% LOSS
2024-04-16 09:26:46 $155.79 -2.53% -1.94% -2.23% -2.75% -2.06% -1.05% -1.50% -1.22% LOSS
2024-03-21 09:25:12 $164.98 +0.84% +0.78% +0.37% +0.52% -2.98% +1.28% +0.01% +0.15% WIN
2024-02-01 00:00:00 $151.0 - - - - -1.32% +2.38% -0.76% +0.27% -
2023-12-15 09:28:00 $147.0 +2.03% +3.08% +2.49% +3.51% +1.55% +6.13% -2.04% -0.52% WIN
2023-11-30 09:26:00 $126.85 -0.50% -0.95% -0.60% -0.15% -2.38% +0.96% -1.32% -0.35% LOSS
2023-10-27 09:26:00 $102.68 +1.47% +1.18% +1.29% +0.73% +1.08% +1.96% +0.65% +1.62% WIN
2023-10-24 09:28:00 $105.23 -0.06% -0.73% -0.40% +0.48% -0.29% +1.16% -1.20% -0.07% LOSS
2023-09-27 09:25:00 $112.98 +0.12% +0.40% +0.46% +0.29% -4.29% +0.83% -0.12% -0.12% WIN
2023-09-14 09:26:00 $116.45 +0.94% +0.64% +0.57% +0.10% -2.16% +1.31% -0.53% +0.52% WIN
2023-08-30 09:26:00 $116.98 -0.54% +0.02% +0.50% +0.95% -1.30% +2.36% -0.83% -0.17% LOSS
2023-08-18 09:27:00 $116.07 +0.95% +1.63% +1.46% +1.68% +0.80% +2.25% -0.16% +0.14% WIN
2023-08-14 09:28:00 $122.34 +0.65% +0.25% +0.09% +0.47% +1.25% +1.27% -0.11% +0.73% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 63.9% Baseline on LEN

The 63.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push LEN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize LEN Strategy →

Why Analyze LEN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LEN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LEN historically offers an average upside of +1.73% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LEN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 63.9%, LEN shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show LEN performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.31%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.