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MDLZ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 67 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2025-02-05

⚠️ Small sample size (67 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Mondelez International, Inc. Class A FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS (SIC 2000)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 13, 2001 🔗 www.mondelezinternational.com
💰 Market Cap: $75.36B 👥 Employees: 90,000
Mondelez has operated independently since its split from the former Kraft Foods North American grocery business in October 2012. The firm is a leading player in the global snack enclave with a presence in the biscuit (49% of sales as of the end of fiscal 2024), chocolate (31%), gum/candy (11%), beverage (3%), and cheese and grocery (6%) aisles. Mondelez's portfolio includes well-known brands like Oreo, Chips Ahoy, Halls, and Cadbury. The firm derives around one-third of its revenue from developing markets, more than one-third from Europe, and the remainder from North America.
📊
67
Total Alerts
🎯
55.2%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.14%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.11%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.51%
Avg Loser: -0.40%
Best: +2.36%
Worst: -1.27%
Trades: 32/35

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +3.63%
Worst: -2.03%
Trades: 32/34

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.7%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.83%
Avg Loser: -0.59%
Best: +3.12%
Worst: -1.68%
Trades: 34/33

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.2%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +4.39%
Worst: -1.90%
Trades: 37/30

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.8%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.37%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +6.85%
Worst: -2.57%
Trades: 30/37

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.11%
Best MFE: +7.09%
Avg Time to MFE: 140 min

On average, MDLZ alerts reach +1.11% profit potential within 140 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.35%
Worst MAE: -2.46%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.35%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.16:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.16x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 67 alerts, MDLZ typically reaches +1.11% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 67
Gap Up % 50.7%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +0.93%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS

How MDLZ compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MDLZ: +0.03% Sector: -0.08% +0.12%
EOD Gain
MDLZ: +0.13% Sector: -0.37% +0.49%
Avg MFE
MDLZ: +1.11% Sector: +4.63% -3.52%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MDLZ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-05 09:27:24 $53.75 +2.36% +3.63% +2.87% +4.39% +6.85% +7.09% +0.37% +0.93% WIN
2025-01-31 09:26:41 $57.16 +1.17% +1.75% +1.59% +1.91% +1.45% +2.27% -0.19% -0.14% WIN
2025-01-30 09:29:50 $57.82 -0.55% -0.66% -0.74% -0.66% +1.02% +1.11% -1.00% -0.55% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:25:59 $58.5 -0.06% -0.39% -0.40% +0.24% -1.09% +0.84% +0.39% -0.14% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:29:23 $57.76 +1.13% +1.19% +1.72% +2.13% +0.92% +2.34% +0.09% +0.09% WIN
2024-12-20 09:26:50 $59.19 +0.36% +0.54% +0.49% +0.23% +0.34% +1.79% -0.32% -0.09% WIN
2024-12-11 09:29:22 $64.46 -1.27% -1.49% -1.02% -1.05% -2.08% -0.25% -1.01% -0.56% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:25:14 $66.25 +0.01% +0.03% +0.21% -0.09% -0.80% +0.50% -0.75% +0.26% WIN
2024-11-04 09:25:21 $68.66 +0.09% -0.51% -0.95% -0.95% -0.44% +0.42% +0.19% +0.20% WIN
2024-10-10 09:28:21 $71.65 -0.74% -0.86% -0.74% -1.09% -0.71% -0.31% -0.54% -0.36% LOSS
2024-10-02 09:28:53 $72.85 -0.58% -0.56% -0.47% -0.70% -0.78% +0.16% -0.54% +0.01% LOSS
2024-09-23 09:26:30 $74.21 +0.22% -0.44% -0.13% +0.52% +0.49% +1.10% -0.66% +0.46% WIN
2024-08-30 09:25:18 $70.91 -0.21% +0.25% +0.23% +0.85% +1.27% +1.51% -0.38% +0.01% LOSS
2024-08-16 09:28:01 $70.78 -0.75% -1.12% -1.12% -1.17% -0.93% -0.48% -0.86% -0.55% LOSS
2024-08-14 09:27:04 $71.26 -0.74% -0.42% -0.32% -0.72% -0.08% +0.92% -1.12% -0.83% LOSS
2024-07-29 09:25:48 $66.08 +0.41% +0.73% +0.59% +0.92% +1.54% +2.15% - +0.20% WIN
2024-07-25 09:25:31 $66.59 +0.14% - +0.47% +0.92% -0.30% +1.71% -0.17% +0.23% WIN
2024-07-08 09:25:38 $66.98 -0.43% -0.68% -0.32% -1.11% -1.22% -0.19% -0.82% -0.79% LOSS
2024-07-05 09:26:54 $66.3 -0.35% -0.16% -0.11% +0.15% +1.03% +1.15% -0.50% +0.02% LOSS
2024-07-02 09:29:48 $65.1 +0.25% +0.23% +0.25% +0.61% +1.43% +1.49% - +0.14% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.2% Baseline on MDLZ

The 55.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MDLZ's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MDLZ Strategy →

Why Analyze MDLZ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MDLZ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MDLZ historically offers an average upside of +1.11% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MDLZ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.2%, MDLZ shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MDLZ performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.14%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.