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MOMO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 28 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-14 → 2024-05-30

⚠️ Small sample size (28 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Hello Group Inc. American Depositary Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 11, 2014 🔗 www.hellogroup.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.11B 👥 Employees: 1,390
Hello Group Inc provides mobile-based social networking services. It enables users to establish and expand social relationships based on location and interests. Its platform includes the Momo mobile application and a variety of related features, functionalities, tools, and services that it provides to users, customers, and platform partners. The company derives its revenue from live video services, value-added services, mobile marketing services, mobile games, and other services. It operates in three segments: Momo's service lines, Tantan's service lines, and QOOL's service lines, out of which Momo's service lines segment derives the majority of revenue.
📊
28
Total Alerts
🎯
60.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.39%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+6.80%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 60.7%
Avg Gain: +0.39%
Avg Winner: +2.18%
Avg Loser: -2.39%
Best: +9.11%
Worst: -5.84%
Trades: 17/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.60%
Avg Winner: +3.49%
Avg Loser: -2.29%
Best: +10.57%
Worst: -7.29%
Trades: 14/14

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.40%
Avg Winner: +5.15%
Avg Loser: -2.52%
Best: +17.05%
Worst: -6.57%
Trades: 14/13

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.7%
Avg Gain: +1.43%
Avg Winner: +4.47%
Avg Loser: -3.28%
Best: +23.83%
Worst: -8.64%
Trades: 17/11

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 53.6%
Avg Gain: +1.58%
Avg Winner: +6.71%
Avg Loser: -4.34%
Best: +26.67%
Worst: -23.08%
Trades: 15/13

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.80%
Best MFE: +34.61%
Avg Time to MFE: 100 min

On average, MOMO alerts reach +6.80% profit potential within 100 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.08%
Worst MAE: -7.97%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.08%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.27:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.27x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 28 alerts, MOMO typically reaches +6.80% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 28
Gap Up % 42.9%
Avg Gap -0.14%
Best Gap +1.64%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MOMO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-05-30 09:29:56 $5.3 +2.16% +6.51% +7.17% +9.15% +6.70% +11.13% -0.19% -0.19% WIN
2024-03-27 09:27:56 $6.05 -1.41% -0.67% +0.74% +0.33% +3.14% +3.31% -2.15% -0.99% LOSS
2024-03-20 09:29:43 $6.01 -1.58% -2.50% -1.25% -0.75% +0.50% +0.50% -3.00% -0.17% LOSS
2024-03-14 09:29:37 $5.94 -0.84% -0.51% -2.02% +1.68% +0.34% +5.30% -5.89% -0.67% LOSS
2023-12-08 09:26:00 $7.38 -5.84% +1.22% +2.30% +1.76% -2.44% +4.06% -7.04% -1.08% LOSS
2023-07-27 09:27:00 $10.23 -1.47% -3.37% -2.83% -1.56% -3.71% - - -0.49% LOSS
2023-04-14 09:28:00 $8.77 +1.14% +2.05% +2.51% +2.51% -0.57% +4.22% -0.57% +0.46% WIN
2023-01-17 09:26:00 $10.8 +0.83% +0.09% - -1.72% -5.37% +1.57% - +0.51% WIN
2022-12-30 09:25:00 $8.66 +1.96% +5.31% +4.73% +3.93% +3.70% +6.70% +0.35% +0.69% WIN
2022-12-15 09:25:00 $8.27 +3.26% +0.97% +2.63% -1.27% +1.33% +4.96% -0.85% +0.97% WIN
2022-12-13 09:25:00 $8.41 +1.71% -2.93% -1.37% -6.72% -3.09% +5.47% - +0.83% WIN
2022-12-12 09:25:00 $8.45 +0.83% -3.79% -3.43% -8.64% -5.09% +2.13% -2.25% -0.83% WIN
2022-12-09 09:25:00 $7.05 +2.62% +10.57% +16.74% +23.83% +26.67% +34.61% -0.28% +0.71% WIN
2022-12-08 09:25:00 $6.04 +9.11% +8.76% +17.05% +16.94% +12.42% +19.54% -1.99% -1.32% WIN
2022-11-10 09:25:00 $4.88 +0.41% +2.46% +1.84% +0.41% -1.43% +3.07% -0.61% +0.61% WIN
2022-10-24 09:25:00 $4.25 -0.71% +0.24% -2.24% -3.08% +1.65% +3.53% -3.65% -1.18% LOSS
2022-08-26 09:25:00 $5.31 +1.13% -1.22% -1.51% -1.88% -0.19% +1.69% -1.13% +0.75% WIN
2022-06-17 09:25:00 $5.16 +3.29% +3.28% +2.91% +1.18% +1.07% +5.43% - +1.36% WIN
2022-06-06 09:25:00 $6.43 +1.87% -1.32% +0.62% +0.47% -2.64% +3.42% -1.71% -0.31% WIN
2022-04-29 09:25:00 $4.88 +2.87% +2.05% +4.71% +5.12% +9.02% +12.30% - +1.64% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.7% Baseline on MOMO

The 60.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MOMO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MOMO Strategy →

Why Analyze MOMO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MOMO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MOMO historically offers an average upside of +6.80% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MOMO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.7%, MOMO shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MOMO performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.39%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.