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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$MSFD

Trade-Ideas alerts 62.2% at 15-min n=45 2026-01-30 → 2026-10-01

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 45 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 06, 2022
Total alerts
45
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
62.2%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
+0.07%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.36%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading MSFD on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 53.3%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.46%
Avg Loser: -0.43%
Best: +1.09%
Worst: -1.47%
Trades: 24/17

15MIN

Win Rate: 62.2%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.55%
Avg Loser: -0.76%
Best: +1.80%
Worst: -3.24%
Trades: 28/16

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.1%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.72%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +1.89%
Worst: -3.99%
Trades: 23/21

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.1%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.81%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +2.65%
Worst: -4.24%
Trades: 23/21

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -1.30%
Best: +3.02%
Worst: -4.98%
Trades: 25/19

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.36%
Best MFE: +3.28%
Avg Time to MFE: 135 min

On average, MSFD alerts reach +1.36% profit potential within 135 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.27%
Worst MAE: -1.32%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.27%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.96:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.96x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 45 alerts, MSFD typically reaches +1.36% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 45
Gap Up % 53.3%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +0.66%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MSFD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $9.82 +0.31% +0.41% +0.41% +0.51% +1.59% +1.70% -0.33% +0.31% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $10.11 +0.00% +0.40% -0.40% -0.59% -0.79% +0.49% +0.00% +0.20% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $10.32 -0.29% +0.68% +0.39% +0.19% +0.19% +1.16% -0.48% +0.39% LOSS
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $10.32 +0.40% +0.50% +0.31% +0.21% +0.50% +1.08% -0.18% -0.08% WIN
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $10.31 +0.39% -0.39% -0.48% -1.02% -0.39% +0.48% -0.19% +0.39% WIN
2026-08-31 09:25:00 $10.06 +0.59% +0.40% +0.30% +0.55% +0.99% +0.99% -0.10% +0.20% WIN
2026-08-20 09:25:00 $10.67 -0.28% +0.28% -0.05% -0.09% +0.09% +0.47% -0.42% +0.00% LOSS
2026-08-17 09:25:00 $10.51 -0.10% +0.33% +0.90% +1.27% +1.90% +2.33% -0.47% -0.19% LOSS
2026-08-14 09:25:00 $10.38 +0.00% +0.00% -0.28% -0.59% +0.19% +0.48% -0.10% -0.10% LOSS
2026-08-13 09:25:00 $10.41 +0.00% -0.58% -0.86% -0.96% -0.38% +0.39% -1.25% +0.29% LOSS
2026-08-10 09:25:00 $10.25 -0.98% -0.15% -0.63% -1.56% -0.68% +0.49% +0.49% -0.10% LOSS
2026-08-06 09:25:00 $10.53 -0.19% -0.66% -1.52% -1.52% -2.18% +1.14% +0.85% +0.10% LOSS
2026-08-05 09:25:00 $10.37 +0.00% +0.58% +1.59% +1.54% +2.03% +2.31% -0.19% -0.19% LOSS
2026-08-04 09:25:00 $10.8 -1.47% -2.20% -2.30% -3.55% -3.13% +0.20% +0.11% -0.63% LOSS
2026-07-31 09:25:00 $11.47 -0.83% -1.83% -2.54% -0.70% -3.14% +0.26% +0.00% +0.13% LOSS
2026-07-30 09:25:00 $12.04 -0.17% -3.24% -3.99% -4.24% -4.98% +2.08% +0.91% -1.16% LOSS
2026-07-23 09:25:00 $13.63 -0.51% -0.07% -0.07% +1.25% +1.84% +2.79% -0.73% -0.47% LOSS
2026-07-14 09:25:00 $13.84 +0.51% +0.22% -0.14% -0.43% -0.51% +1.01% -0.07% -0.07% WIN
2026-07-01 09:25:00 $13.88 +0.79% +1.08% +1.12% -0.22% -0.79% +1.80% -0.29% +0.43% WIN
2026-06-23 09:25:00 $14.25 +0.63% -0.21% +0.07% -0.57% -0.21% +1.54% +0.35% +0.14% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 62.2% Baseline on MSFD

The 62.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push MSFD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MSFD Strategy →

Why Analyze MSFD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MSFD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MSFD historically offers an average upside of +1.36% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MSFD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.2%, MSFD shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MSFD performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.07%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.