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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$MSFL

Trade-Ideas alerts 52.6% at 60-min n=116 2025-01-27 → 2026-09-28

🏢 Company Profile

GraniteShares 2x Long MSFT Daily ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 15, 2024
Total alerts
116
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
52.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
+0.09%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.66%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading MSFL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.8%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.90%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +2.79%
Worst: -2.28%
Trades: 45/69

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.44%
Avg Loser: -1.43%
Best: +7.37%
Worst: -3.76%
Trades: 55/59

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.7%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.49%
Avg Loser: -1.68%
Best: +8.55%
Worst: -5.81%
Trades: 60/55

60MIN

Win Rate: 52.6%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.90%
Avg Loser: -1.91%
Best: +9.00%
Worst: -6.30%
Trades: 61/55

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +2.78%
Avg Loser: -2.60%
Best: +10.00%
Worst: -6.24%
Trades: 58/57

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.66%
Best MFE: +12.99%
Avg Time to MFE: 128 min

On average, MSFL alerts reach +2.66% profit potential within 128 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.90%
Worst MAE: -3.76%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.90%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.95:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.95x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 116 alerts, MSFL typically reaches +2.66% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 116
Gap Up % 41.4%
Avg Gap -0.05%
Best Gap +4.37%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MSFL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $25.61 -0.22% -0.98% +0.79% +1.26% +1.48% +3.02% -1.20% +0.17% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $25.94 -1.12% -3.05% -4.44% -3.97% -3.92% +0.08% -0.85% -0.31% LOSS
2026-08-19 09:25:00 $23.37 +0.19% +1.67% +0.77% +0.73% +1.75% +3.81% -0.39% -0.39% WIN
2026-08-13 09:25:00 $24.75 +0.93% +1.98% +2.51% +2.46% +1.29% +3.11% -0.16% +0.16% WIN
2026-08-10 09:25:00 $25.8 +1.76% +0.21% +1.17% +2.92% +1.01% +4.07% -1.09% +0.08% WIN
2026-08-06 09:25:00 $24.3 +0.82% +1.85% +3.54% +3.54% +4.81% +5.45% -1.60% +0.21% WIN
2026-08-05 09:25:00 $25.19 +0.04% -1.05% -3.02% -2.98% -3.89% +0.52% +0.00% -0.36% WIN
2026-08-04 09:25:00 $23.32 +2.66% +4.16% +4.50% +7.16% +6.26% +9.01% -1.03% +1.11% WIN
2026-07-31 09:25:00 $20.73 +2.03% +3.96% +5.50% +1.69% +6.66% +7.53% -0.39% +0.10% WIN
2026-07-30 09:25:00 $19.0 +2.79% +7.37% +8.55% +9.00% +10.00% +12.99% -0.74% +4.37% WIN
2026-07-29 09:25:00 $16.26 -0.43% -1.84% -1.94% -1.23% -1.23% +3.32% -2.89% -0.55% LOSS
2026-07-28 09:25:00 $16.09 +1.12% +2.86% -0.44% +1.93% +0.56% +3.98% -0.56% +0.50% WIN
2026-07-27 09:25:00 $15.79 +1.77% +1.20% +1.58% +0.82% +0.19% +2.75% -0.44% +0.51% WIN
2026-07-24 09:25:00 $15.68 -0.24% -1.26% -2.73% -2.41% -2.73% +0.84% -0.82% +0.27% LOSS
2026-07-23 09:25:00 $15.95 -0.88% -0.88% -0.69% -3.57% -4.58% +0.56% -1.13% -0.19% LOSS
2026-07-21 09:25:00 $16.62 -0.36% +0.54% +1.08% +1.08% -0.30% +1.62% -0.90% +0.60% LOSS
2026-07-20 09:25:00 $16.02 -0.44% +0.87% -0.12% +1.75% +6.05% +6.37% -0.87% +0.00% LOSS
2026-07-17 09:25:00 $16.2 +0.43% +2.10% +0.43% +0.06% +0.43% +2.69% +0.43% +0.93% WIN
2026-07-16 09:25:00 $16.71 -1.08% -2.27% -1.86% -1.83% +1.08% +3.53% -3.35% -0.30% LOSS
2026-07-15 09:25:00 $15.76 +1.08% +1.59% +1.97% +4.51% +4.31% +6.06% -0.25% +0.13% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 52.6% Baseline on MSFL

The 52.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push MSFL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MSFL Strategy →

Why Analyze MSFL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MSFL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MSFL historically offers an average upside of +2.66% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MSFL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.6%, MSFL shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MSFL performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.09%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.