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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$MSFU

Trade-Ideas alerts 52.5% at 30-min n=181 2023-11-20 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 06, 2022
Total alerts
181
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
52.5%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
+0.01%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.46%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading MSFU on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.7%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.78%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +3.36%
Worst: -2.94%
Trades: 70/107

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.36%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: +6.15%
Worst: -3.66%
Trades: 87/93

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.5%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.42%
Avg Loser: -1.57%
Best: +7.08%
Worst: -6.27%
Trades: 95/85

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.3%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.75%
Avg Loser: -1.70%
Best: +7.84%
Worst: -7.90%
Trades: 91/89

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +2.53%
Avg Loser: -2.23%
Best: +8.43%
Worst: -6.84%
Trades: 87/92

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.46%
Best MFE: +11.49%
Avg Time to MFE: 123 min

On average, MSFU alerts reach +2.46% profit potential within 123 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.90%
Worst MAE: -7.57%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.90%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.73:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.73x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 181 alerts, MSFU typically reaches +2.46% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 181
Gap Up % 47.0%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +2.97%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MSFU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $40.33 +0.37% -1.26% -1.34% -0.83% -0.82% +1.26% -1.02% +0.05% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $40.48 -0.59% -0.54% -0.68% -0.79% -2.82% +0.89% -1.26% -0.17% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $39.24 -0.36% +1.15% +1.50% +2.47% +0.15% +2.85% -1.40% -0.43% LOSS
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $38.71 -0.47% -1.37% -1.80% +0.06% +0.00% +1.81% -2.53% -0.21% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $38.16 -0.07% -0.78% +0.71% +1.45% +1.63% +3.23% -1.22% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $37.42 -0.27% +4.46% +7.05% +5.61% +6.41% +7.80% -1.04% -0.51% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $36.75 -1.33% -0.79% -1.33% -0.46% +0.98% +1.42% -1.63% +0.08% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $37.74 -0.34% +2.68% +0.53% -1.93% -0.40% +3.02% -0.64% -0.27% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $38.71 -0.98% -3.05% -4.50% -4.11% -3.88% +0.15% -0.36% -0.21% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $37.04 -0.19% -0.50% +0.03% -0.32% +2.78% +2.75% -1.43% +0.30% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $37.3 -0.11% -0.83% -0.97% -1.50% -1.29% +0.78% -0.32% +0.62% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $37.55 +0.67% -0.75% -0.61% +0.08% -0.05% +1.38% -1.09% -0.05% WIN
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $36.91 -0.51% +0.79% +0.07% -0.09% -1.27% +0.95% -0.98% -0.27% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $38.01 +0.16% +1.68% +0.21% -0.78% -1.53% +2.08% -0.55% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $37.63 +0.05% -0.13% +1.22% +0.43% +3.00% +4.76% -1.06% -0.27% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $37.38 -0.32% -0.19% +0.32% -0.37% -0.32% +1.07% -1.12% -0.11% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $36.38 -0.65% -0.49% +0.30% +0.49% +1.26% +2.09% -1.35% -0.38% LOSS
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $37.1 -0.38% -0.40% -0.24% -0.97% -0.11% +0.38% -1.09% -0.38% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $39.17 +0.69% -0.74% -1.17% -2.14% -3.14% +1.30% -0.03% +0.94% WIN
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $38.3 +1.23% +3.60% +3.90% +3.74% +3.37% +5.56% -0.29% +0.10% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 52.5% Baseline on MSFU

The 52.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push MSFU's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MSFU Strategy →

Why Analyze MSFU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MSFU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MSFU historically offers an average upside of +2.46% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MSFU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.5%, MSFU shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MSFU performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.01%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.