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Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$MTH

Trade-Ideas alerts 0.0% at 5-min n=1 2026-03-02 → 2026-03-02

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 1 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Meritage Homes Corporation OPERATIVE BUILDERS (SIC 1531)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 22, 1988 🔗 www.meritagehomes.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.16B 👥 Employees: 1,860
Meritage Homes Corp is engaged as a designer and builder of single-family attached and detached homes. It has operations in three regions: West, Central, and East, comprising twelve states: Arizona, California, Colorado, Utah, Tennessee, Texas, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina, and South Carolina. The company operates with two principal business segments: homebuilding and financial services. The homebuilding segments are engaged in the business of acquiring and developing land, constructing homes, marketing and selling those homes, and providing warranty and customer services, and the financial services segment offers title and escrow, mortgage, and insurance services. The company generates key revenue from the Homebuilding segment.
Total alerts
1
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
0.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-1.98%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
-1.98%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading MTH on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.98%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.98%
Best: -1.98%
Worst: -1.98%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.03%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.03%
Best: -3.03%
Worst: -3.03%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.97%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.97%
Best: -3.97%
Worst: -3.97%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.49%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.49%
Best: -3.49%
Worst: -3.49%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.62%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.62%
Best: -3.62%
Worst: -3.62%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: -1.98%
Best MFE: -1.98%
Avg Time to MFE: 5 min

On average, MTH alerts reach -1.98% profit potential within 5 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.39%
Worst MAE: -2.39%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.39%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.83:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, MTH typically reaches -1.98% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around -1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -2.39%
Best Gap -2.39%

🏭 Sector Comparison: OPERATIVE BUILDERS

How MTH compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MTH: -1.98% Sector: +0.10% -2.08%
EOD Gain
MTH: -3.62% Sector: -0.41% -3.21%
Avg MFE
MTH: -1.98% Sector: +1.83% -3.81%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MTH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-03-02 09:25:00 $75.42 -1.98% -3.03% -3.97% -3.49% -3.62% -1.98% -2.39% -2.39% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ MTH Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -1.98% average gain, MTH alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MTH for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze MTH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MTH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MTH historically offers an average upside of -1.98% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MTH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, MTH shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MTH may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MTH shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.98%). This suggests MTH is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.