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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$MUD

Trade-Ideas alerts 58.7% at 5-min n=155 2026-01-05 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 09, 2024
Total alerts
155
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
58.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.17%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.14%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading MUD on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 58.7%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -0.81%
Best: +3.49%
Worst: -3.03%
Trades: 91/62

15MIN

Win Rate: 58.1%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.29%
Avg Loser: -1.51%
Best: +5.87%
Worst: -5.32%
Trades: 90/63

30MIN

Win Rate: 54.8%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.71%
Avg Loser: -1.83%
Best: +10.42%
Worst: -7.70%
Trades: 85/70

60MIN

Win Rate: 52.3%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +2.38%
Avg Loser: -2.31%
Best: +8.72%
Worst: -9.87%
Trades: 81/73

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.0%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +2.80%
Avg Loser: -3.21%
Best: +11.86%
Worst: -12.78%
Trades: 79/75

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.14%
Best MFE: +15.01%
Avg Time to MFE: 108 min

On average, MUD alerts reach +3.14% profit potential within 108 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.93%
Worst MAE: -5.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.93%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.37:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.37x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 155 alerts, MUD typically reaches +3.14% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 155
Gap Up % 51.6%
Avg Gap +0.11%
Best Gap +1.43%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MUD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $8.76 +0.91% +1.03% +1.71% +1.03% +2.74% +3.08% -0.57% -0.23% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $9.17 -0.33% -0.44% +0.44% +2.40% -3.82% +3.05% -1.74% +0.22% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $8.96 +0.33% +0.84% +1.06% +0.67% +1.23% +1.90% -0.33% +0.45% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $9.0 -0.11% +1.44% +0.11% -0.33% +1.00% +1.67% -0.33% -0.11% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $9.0 +0.22% +0.89% +1.33% +2.33% +2.11% +4.08% -0.76% -0.11% WIN
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $8.84 +0.11% -1.02% +0.45% +1.58% +1.24% +2.09% -1.19% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $9.22 -0.33% +0.16% +0.11% -0.30% -2.60% +0.49% +0.33% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $8.8 +0.23% +0.85% +1.08% +2.50% +2.50% +3.30% -0.34% +0.11% WIN
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $9.41 -1.06% -2.02% -3.67% -4.25% -6.06% +0.21% +0.00% -0.11% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $9.48 -0.32% -1.95% -1.16% +0.53% -0.21% +1.01% -2.43% -0.42% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $10.07 -0.05% -0.59% -0.89% -1.09% -3.37% +0.40% -0.59% -0.29% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $10.37 -0.71% -1.95% -3.38% -2.34% -2.43% +0.17% +0.09% -0.02% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $10.59 +0.47% +1.23% +0.35% +0.28% +1.04% +1.94% -0.52% +0.19% WIN
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $10.59 +0.38% +0.47% +0.19% -0.38% +0.94% +1.70% -0.99% -0.19% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $10.87 +0.28% +0.54% +0.51% -0.83% -1.29% +0.74% -0.46% +0.28% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $10.01 +0.15% +1.80% +1.90% +1.10% +1.80% +2.60% -0.30% +0.10% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $9.98 +0.09% -0.20% +0.80% +0.35% +1.50% +2.10% -0.30% +0.10% WIN
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $9.96 -0.30% -0.50% -2.61% -3.21% -2.71% +0.70% -0.40% +0.10% LOSS
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $9.6 +0.32% +1.26% +1.57% +2.04% +3.66% +3.97% -0.35% +0.03% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $10.31 -0.48% -2.52% -2.72% -3.01% -4.95% +0.00% -0.10% -0.53% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 58.7% Baseline on MUD

The 58.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push MUD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MUD Strategy →

Why Analyze MUD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MUD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MUD historically offers an average upside of +3.14% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MUD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 58.7%, MUD shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MUD performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.17%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.