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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$MUD

Trade-Ideas alert history 89 alerts 2026-01-052026-06-02

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 89 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 09, 2024
Total alerts
89
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
44.9%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
-0.06%
Per-alert expectancy
Best trade
+4.16%
Single-alert top outcome

Practice trading MUD on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.1%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.39%
Avg Loser: -0.46%
Best: +1.11%
Worst: -1.33%
Trades: 33/51

15MIN

Win Rate: 37.1%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.40%
Avg Loser: -0.54%
Best: +1.35%
Worst: -1.28%
Trades: 33/55

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.7%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.58%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +1.68%
Worst: -1.76%
Trades: 38/46

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.9%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +4.16%
Worst: -4.12%
Trades: 40/47

🎯 Top Alert Patterns

Rsi oversold

Alerts 7
Win Rate 28.6%
Avg Gain -0.20%

Rsi overbought

Alerts 5
Win Rate 80.0%
Avg Gain +0.28%

Below sma200

Alerts 89
Win Rate 37.1%
Avg Gain -0.12%

📅 Recent Activity

Last 7 Days

89 alerts

Win Rate: 37.1%

Avg Gain: -0.12%

Last 30 Days

89 alerts

Win Rate: 37.1%

Avg Gain: -0.12%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MUD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-06-02 None $12.2 -0.16% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-06-01 None $12.79 +0.01% - - - - - - - WIN
2026-05-29 None $13.44 -0.88% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-28 None $13.91 +0.36% - - - - - - - WIN
2026-05-27 None $13.32 +0.01% - - - - - - - WIN
2026-05-26 None $16.23 -0.43% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-22 None $17.69 -0.50% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-21 None $18.19 -0.93% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-20 None $18.1 -0.82% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-19 None $20.15 -0.10% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-18 None $17.88 +0.85% - - - - - - - WIN
2026-05-15 None $18.26 +0.38% - - - - - - - WIN
2026-05-14 None $17.06 +0.41% - - - - - - - WIN
2026-05-13 None $16.71 -0.48% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-12 None $17.64 -0.14% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-11 None $17.01 -1.31% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-08 None $20.59 -0.79% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-07 None $21.45 +0.42% - - - - - - - WIN
2026-05-06 None $20.95 -0.66% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-05 None $23.14 -0.86% - - - - - - - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ MUD Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.9% win rate and -0.06% average gain, MUD alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MUD for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze MUD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MUD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MUD historically offers an average upside of +0.00% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MUD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.9%, MUD shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MUD may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MUD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.06%). This suggests MUD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.