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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$MVLL

Trade-Ideas alerts 54.0% at EOD n=124 2026-01-05 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

GraniteShares 2x Long MRVL Daily ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 06, 2025
Total alerts
124
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
54.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+0.20%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+6.52%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading MVLL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable MVLL setups

Historical MVLL setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.75%
Avg Loser: -1.65%
Best: +6.39%
Worst: -7.38%
Trades: 62/62

15MIN

Win Rate: 49.2%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +3.50%
Avg Loser: -3.75%
Best: +11.30%
Worst: -10.74%
Trades: 61/63

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.8%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +4.31%
Avg Loser: -4.38%
Best: +15.67%
Worst: -16.09%
Trades: 63/61

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +5.15%
Avg Loser: -5.32%
Best: +13.32%
Worst: -17.64%
Trades: 62/62

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.0%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +6.00%
Avg Loser: -6.73%
Best: +24.49%
Worst: -25.68%
Trades: 67/56

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.52%
Best MFE: +28.73%
Avg Time to MFE: 124 min

On average, MVLL alerts reach +6.52% profit potential within 124 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.21%
Worst MAE: -8.05%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.21%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.95:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.95x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 124 alerts, MVLL typically reaches +6.52% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 124
Gap Up % 46.8%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +3.65%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MVLL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $39.42 +0.49% -0.05% -0.76% -0.71% -3.73% +1.65% -1.04% +0.22% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $36.0 -1.19% -1.69% -1.53% -3.92% +2.06% +3.97% -5.48% +0.12% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $36.06 -1.04% -4.97% -4.79% -4.70% -0.74% +0.26% +0.12% -0.68% LOSS
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $34.34 +0.29% +1.50% +3.41% +2.24% +3.44% +4.43% -1.25% +0.06% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $34.56 -0.61% -2.72% -2.84% -4.66% -5.50% +2.00% -1.85% +0.46% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $35.85 +0.07% -1.02% -1.23% -2.93% -1.14% +2.75% -4.71% -0.07% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $33.46 -0.66% +3.56% +1.54% +1.02% +3.50% +5.89% -1.85% -0.10% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $35.74 +0.98% -0.17% -0.83% -3.99% -1.76% +1.34% -1.40% -0.42% WIN
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $33.56 +1.99% +4.38% +6.44% +5.21% +6.17% +8.94% -0.83% +0.51% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $32.79 -0.05% -3.78% -1.22% -0.43% +4.51% +7.38% -4.92% +0.18% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $30.32 -1.68% -2.14% -0.87% -2.21% +2.21% +2.24% -4.65% +0.53% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $30.03 +1.63% +1.32% +4.61% +0.56% +0.13% +5.93% -0.40% +0.07% WIN
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $26.75 -0.19% +2.06% +5.20% +5.79% +2.84% +6.30% -1.48% +0.37% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $25.63 +1.25% +1.68% +4.57% +1.83% +0.00% +5.37% -0.55% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $24.32 -0.21% -1.11% +4.56% +6.17% +2.96% +8.12% -2.14% +0.49% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $29.0 -2.03% -0.48% +0.24% +1.34% +1.10% +4.48% -4.41% -0.14% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $27.32 +3.66% +5.34% +1.98% +4.17% -0.81% +6.15% -1.98% +0.60% WIN
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $26.43 +3.09% +7.04% +14.60% +13.32% +10.33% +16.57% -0.26% +0.49% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $26.3 +6.39% +2.05% +1.27% +4.33% +2.24% +8.10% -0.34% +3.65% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $23.77 -0.27% +2.31% +6.34% +6.02% +11.44% +11.57% -0.34% +0.21% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 54.0% Baseline on MVLL

The 54.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push MVLL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MVLL Strategy →

Why Analyze MVLL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MVLL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MVLL historically offers an average upside of +6.52% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MVLL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.0%, MVLL shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MVLL performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.20%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.