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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$NAIL

Trade-Ideas alerts 55.7% at 5-min n=79 2022-05-11 → 2026-10-02

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 79 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Aug 19, 2015
Total alerts
79
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
55.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.13%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.63%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading NAIL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable NAIL setups

Historical NAIL setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 55.7%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.33%
Avg Loser: -1.38%
Best: +4.48%
Worst: -4.67%
Trades: 44/35

15MIN

Win Rate: 49.4%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +1.96%
Avg Loser: -2.33%
Best: +10.51%
Worst: -6.23%
Trades: 39/40

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.4%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +2.52%
Avg Loser: -2.64%
Best: +14.15%
Worst: -6.91%
Trades: 39/39

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.0%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +3.55%
Avg Loser: -2.61%
Best: +14.13%
Worst: -7.74%
Trades: 34/45

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.8%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +3.84%
Avg Loser: -3.31%
Best: +14.70%
Worst: -10.87%
Trades: 37/42

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.63%
Best MFE: +17.83%
Avg Time to MFE: 120 min

On average, NAIL alerts reach +3.63% profit potential within 120 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.51%
Worst MAE: -7.48%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.51%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.4:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.4x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 79 alerts, NAIL typically reaches +3.63% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 79
Gap Up % 46.8%
Avg Gap -0.13%
Best Gap +1.96%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NAIL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $29.8 +0.14% -1.44% -2.85% -3.52% -6.81% +1.51% +0.00% +0.67% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $27.78 -0.49% -2.98% -4.02% -5.85% +2.42% +2.92% -6.47% -0.46% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $30.14 -1.39% -1.99% -3.09% -3.92% -6.74% +0.36% -0.36% -0.43% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $31.42 -1.88% -0.88% -1.73% -2.04% -4.58% +0.25% -1.97% -1.07% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $31.05 +0.29% +2.09% +2.45% +2.25% +3.86% +4.86% -0.55% +0.32% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $29.5 +0.10% -1.63% -2.44% -0.54% +0.37% +1.90% -3.46% +0.14% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $31.09 +2.22% -3.70% -1.82% -1.29% -3.28% +2.93% -0.71% +1.96% WIN
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $30.88 -0.91% -1.88% -2.69% -2.74% -0.71% +0.68% -3.63% -0.23% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $29.83 +0.03% +1.68% +1.82% +0.30% +3.39% +4.95% -1.31% -0.77% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $30.53 +0.59% -2.88% -3.08% -2.86% -0.39% +1.15% -0.82% -0.59% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $30.27 -3.34% -4.56% -4.66% -3.53% -3.90% +0.76% +0.76% -0.83% LOSS
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $31.58 +1.24% +2.12% +1.04% +1.17% -1.11% +2.66% +0.22% +0.70% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $34.17 +2.28% +1.36% +1.86% +2.58% +3.31% +4.62% +0.01% +0.67% WIN
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $35.13 +0.63% +0.31% -0.28% -3.25% -0.48% +3.59% +0.34% +0.34% WIN
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $34.28 -0.79% -0.93% -0.05% +0.15% -0.38% +1.98% -1.63% +0.19% LOSS
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $35.75 -1.51% -0.59% -1.43% -0.00% -5.85% +0.90% -2.99% -0.81% LOSS
2026-08-20 09:25:00 $40.02 -3.34% -1.19% -0.77% -2.20% -2.55% +0.95% -4.40% -0.67% LOSS
2026-08-19 09:25:00 $41.6 +0.53% +1.75% +3.21% +5.82% +1.13% +5.99% -2.16% -0.37% WIN
2026-08-07 09:25:00 $43.0 -0.60% +2.91% +4.16% +4.84% +4.72% +5.72% -1.65% +0.14% LOSS
2026-08-06 09:25:00 $44.81 -1.87% -4.26% -4.95% -3.21% -6.61% +0.69% -1.34% -1.81% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 55.7% Baseline on NAIL

The 55.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push NAIL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NAIL Strategy →

Why Analyze NAIL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NAIL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NAIL historically offers an average upside of +3.63% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NAIL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.7%, NAIL shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NAIL performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.13%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.