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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$NAIL

Trade-Ideas alert history 3 alerts 2022-05-112022-10-03

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 3 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Aug 19, 2015
Total alerts
3
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
100.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+1.28%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+5.65%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading NAIL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.28%
Avg Winner: +1.28%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.03%
Worst: +0.67%
Trades: 3/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.44%
Avg Winner: +2.00%
Avg Loser: -3.16%
Best: +2.00%
Worst: -5.51%
Trades: 1/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.63%
Avg Winner: +1.73%
Avg Loser: -1.57%
Best: +2.93%
Worst: -1.57%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.57%
Avg Winner: +2.57%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.63%
Worst: +0.99%
Trades: 3/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.79%
Avg Winner: +4.26%
Avg Loser: -10.87%
Best: +6.57%
Worst: -10.87%
Trades: 2/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.65%
Best MFE: +8.65%
Avg Time to MFE: 156 min

On average, NAIL alerts reach +5.65% profit potential within 156 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.41%
Worst MAE: -6.17%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.41%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.65:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, NAIL typically reaches +5.65% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.54%
Best Gap +0.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NAIL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-10-03 09:25:00 $23.0 +0.67% -0.81% -1.57% +3.09% +6.57% +8.65% -2.17% +0.00% WIN
2022-08-10 09:25:00 $37.49 +1.14% +2.00% +2.93% +3.63% +1.95% +5.36% -1.89% -1.89% WIN
2022-05-11 09:25:00 $34.5 +2.03% -5.51% +0.52% +0.99% -10.87% +2.93% -6.17% +0.26% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 100.0% Baseline on NAIL

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push NAIL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NAIL Strategy →

Why Analyze NAIL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NAIL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NAIL historically offers an average upside of +5.65% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NAIL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, NAIL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NAIL performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.28%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.