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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$NBIL

Trade-Ideas alerts 52.4% at 5-min n=164 2026-01-05 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

GraniteShares 2x Long NBIS Daily ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 06, 2025
Total alerts
164
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
52.4%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.13%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+8.28%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading NBIL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.4%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.89%
Avg Loser: -2.36%
Best: +6.29%
Worst: -7.02%
Trades: 86/78

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.4%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +4.17%
Avg Loser: -4.38%
Best: +12.78%
Worst: -14.12%
Trades: 86/78

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.2%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +5.95%
Avg Loser: -5.19%
Best: +22.28%
Worst: -19.13%
Trades: 79/85

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.0%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +7.48%
Avg Loser: -6.50%
Best: +27.04%
Worst: -20.56%
Trades: 77/86

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +9.14%
Avg Loser: -7.92%
Best: +28.26%
Worst: -29.11%
Trades: 75/89

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.28%
Best MFE: +32.50%
Avg Time to MFE: 117 min

On average, NBIL alerts reach +8.28% profit potential within 117 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.57%
Worst MAE: -10.74%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.57%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.22:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.22x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 164 alerts, NBIL typically reaches +8.28% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 164
Gap Up % 47.0%
Avg Gap -0.12%
Best Gap +2.81%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NBIL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $26.42 +0.00% +5.22% +5.57% +8.99% +5.41% +10.11% -0.45% -0.38% LOSS
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $26.49 -2.60% +0.64% -3.65% -5.13% -3.17% +2.68% -6.64% +0.30% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $28.38 +2.29% -1.53% -1.42% -3.52% -6.98% +4.62% -0.81% -0.49% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $26.26 +0.30% +0.15% +4.34% +8.15% +1.83% +10.02% -1.25% +0.32% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $25.8 +3.37% +8.53% +8.02% +6.55% -0.85% +10.85% +0.58% +1.51% WIN
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $28.9 -2.29% -3.32% -4.23% -6.75% -7.31% +1.17% +0.62% -0.32% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $25.3 +0.36% +10.67% +4.19% +10.12% +11.54% +16.56% -0.67% +1.86% WIN
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $26.43 -0.76% -2.76% -0.53% -2.97% -6.98% +1.78% -0.76% +0.76% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $25.9 +0.62% +9.00% +11.76% +7.88% +3.51% +12.39% -0.73% +1.35% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $24.72 -2.18% -0.93% +0.24% +0.53% +5.34% +9.83% -4.76% +0.04% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $22.77 +1.01% +1.28% -1.41% -3.34% +5.40% +6.50% -6.54% +0.40% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $25.59 -0.45% -13.99% -11.17% -15.24% -10.47% +1.21% -1.37% -0.90% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $21.8 +1.38% +0.41% +2.48% +3.58% -2.84% +7.25% -1.11% +0.37% WIN
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $21.88 +0.23% +1.78% +3.20% +1.90% -4.75% +3.52% -1.83% -0.69% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $20.33 +0.03% +4.33% +8.51% +11.56% +7.23% +14.81% -1.57% -0.59% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $26.82 -0.98% -5.50% -5.72% -2.96% -8.59% +0.99% +0.17% +0.10% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $25.87 +3.48% +4.25% -0.07% +1.49% -2.36% +7.19% -0.66% +1.58% WIN
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $29.74 +1.78% -0.81% -0.13% -3.03% -5.28% +2.72% -0.98% +0.67% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $27.04 +3.40% +0.11% +3.81% +3.55% +7.29% +16.31% -2.07% +0.21% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $21.64 +2.59% +4.16% +7.44% +5.82% +16.40% +16.50% -0.42% +0.74% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ NBIL Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 52.4% win rate, NBIL has -0.13% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making NBIL profitable.

🔧 Fix NBIL Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze NBIL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NBIL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NBIL historically offers an average upside of +8.28% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NBIL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.4%, NBIL shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.36%) outweigh average wins (+1.89%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NBIL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.13%). This suggests NBIL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.