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NCTY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 18 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-11 → 2024-02-21

⚠️ Small sample size (18 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

The9 Limited American Depository Shares representing three class A ordinary shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 15, 2004 🔗 www.the9.com
💰 Market Cap: $107.5M 👥 Employees: 50
The9 Ltd operates a cryptocurrency mining business. It provides computing power, or hash rate, to a Bitcoin mining pool and is entitled to receive a fractional share of Bitcoin award from the Bitcoin mining pool in return. The company generates its revenues from customers in Greater China, Asia/Eastern Europe, and North America. Its segments are: Crypto mining business, and Other, out of which Crypto mining business derives maximum revenue.
📊
18
Total Alerts
🎯
83.3%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+680.38%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+9.77%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.91%
Avg Winner: +3.29%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: +7.34%
Worst: -2.58%
Trades: 8/9

15MIN

Win Rate: 70.6%
Avg Gain: +1.05%
Avg Winner: +3.38%
Avg Loser: -5.67%
Best: +7.43%
Worst: -13.36%
Trades: 12/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 70.6%
Avg Gain: +2.99%
Avg Winner: +5.92%
Avg Loser: -4.05%
Best: +13.82%
Worst: -11.22%
Trades: 12/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 70.6%
Avg Gain: +2.50%
Avg Winner: +5.47%
Avg Loser: -4.65%
Best: +13.02%
Worst: -11.38%
Trades: 12/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 83.3%
Avg Gain: +680.38%
Avg Winner: +817.51%
Avg Loser: -5.25%
Best: +986.09%
Worst: -8.09%
Trades: 15/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.77%
Best MFE: +29.27%
Avg Time to MFE: 36 min

On average, NCTY alerts reach +9.77% profit potential within 36 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.83%
Worst MAE: -4.59%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.83%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.35:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.35x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 18 alerts, NCTY typically reaches +9.77% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 18
Gap Up % 27.8%
Avg Gap -0.32%
Best Gap +4.39%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NCTY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-02-21 09:26:01 $6.15 -0.93% -4.55% -11.22% -11.38% -3.25% +4.39% -1.63% +4.39% LOSS
2023-07-24 09:26:00 $1.13 -0.89% +2.65% -0.89% -0.05% -4.42% +3.54% -1.77% -0.89% LOSS
2023-07-14 09:27:00 $1.35 -0.74% +5.19% +8.15% +3.70% +862.96% +8.89% -2.22% -2.22% LOSS
2023-07-12 09:27:00 $1.12 +0.89% -2.68% -3.57% -4.46% +828.57% +3.57% - +3.57% WIN
2023-07-11 09:29:00 $1.09 +7.34% +2.26% +2.75% +4.59% +835.78% +7.34% -4.59% +0.92% WIN
2023-04-12 09:29:00 $1.09 +4.59% +0.45% -2.75% -0.92% +866.97% +8.26% -0.92% -0.92% WIN
2023-01-23 09:25:00 $1.57 +1.78% +2.55% +3.18% +5.10% +925.48% +7.01% -0.64% -0.64% WIN
2023-01-19 09:28:00 $1.24 -0.01% - +4.84% +8.47% +16.94% +16.94% -2.42% -2.42% LOSS
2023-01-18 09:28:00 $1.5 +1.33% +6.67% +1.49% +1.00% +753.33% +7.33% -2.89% - WIN
2023-01-17 09:28:00 $1.42 +4.23% +5.63% +3.06% +3.52% +949.30% +11.27% -2.82% -1.41% WIN
2023-01-13 09:25:00 $1.23 -1.63% +7.43% +13.82% +13.02% +948.78% +29.27% -4.07% -3.25% LOSS
2022-12-13 09:25:00 $0.85 +0.59% +3.53% +8.24% +5.53% +800.82% +12.94% - +1.18% WIN
2022-11-17 09:25:00 $0.85 -2.58% - - - +800.23% +3.29% -2.58% -2.58% LOSS
2022-09-27 09:25:00 $0.92 +5.55% -2.08% +0.82% +0.52% +901.09% +5.55% +2.69% +2.69% WIN
2022-06-29 09:25:00 $2.17 -0.92% -13.36% -1.84% -6.41% +881.57% +1.84% +0.46% -0.46% LOSS
2022-06-28 09:25:00 $2.13 -1.41% +1.88% +9.86% +5.87% +904.69% +21.60% -3.76% -3.76% LOSS
2022-06-24 09:25:00 $1.51 - +1.62% +5.30% +9.22% +986.09% +13.24% -1.32% - -
2022-05-11 09:25:00 $1.36 -0.74% +0.74% +9.56% +5.15% -8.09% +9.56% -4.41% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 83.3% Baseline on NCTY

The 83.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NCTY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NCTY Strategy →

Why Analyze NCTY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NCTY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NCTY historically offers an average upside of +9.77% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NCTY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 83.3%, NCTY shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NCTY performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +680.38%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.