FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$NFXL

Trade-Ideas alerts 51.2% at 30-min n=121 2026-01-05 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily NFLX Bull 2X ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 02, 2024
Total alerts
121
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
51.2%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
-0.03%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.74%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading NFXL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 49.6%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.02%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: +3.80%
Worst: -3.98%
Trades: 60/60

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.9%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -1.55%
Best: +4.81%
Worst: -5.94%
Trades: 58/62

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.2%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.75%
Avg Loser: -1.94%
Best: +4.98%
Worst: -7.08%
Trades: 62/58

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +2.23%
Avg Loser: -2.10%
Best: +7.03%
Worst: -5.95%
Trades: 55/66

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +3.09%
Avg Loser: -2.64%
Best: +10.36%
Worst: -8.62%
Trades: 53/67

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.74%
Best MFE: +12.53%
Avg Time to MFE: 115 min

On average, NFXL alerts reach +2.74% profit potential within 115 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.01%
Worst MAE: -5.08%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.01%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.7:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.7x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 121 alerts, NFXL typically reaches +2.74% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 121
Gap Up % 39.7%
Avg Gap -0.07%
Best Gap +2.14%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NFXL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $13.09 -0.61% -1.26% -0.84% -1.18% -1.99% +0.99% +0.46% -0.34% LOSS
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $13.95 -1.94% -2.08% -4.06% -4.62% -5.73% -0.36% -0.65% -1.40% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $14.07 -0.97% -0.99% -1.42% -0.50% -1.71% +0.28% -1.42% -0.07% LOSS
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $14.03 +1.82% +1.10% +0.59% +2.71% +0.71% +3.56% -0.21% +0.75% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $14.65 -1.68% -3.89% -4.57% -4.06% -6.35% +0.10% -0.14% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $14.59 +0.03% +0.27% +0.41% -0.89% -0.69% +1.23% -0.07% +0.69% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $14.73 -0.44% -0.61% +0.14% -0.34% +0.00% +0.95% -1.22% -0.34% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $14.98 -0.93% -1.27% -2.94% -1.54% -2.47% +0.20% -3.32% -0.47% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $15.52 -0.78% -2.77% -3.73% -3.90% -3.74% +1.35% -0.45% +0.45% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $14.85 +1.28% +1.14% +3.16% +4.03% +4.92% +6.25% -0.07% +1.08% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $14.83 -3.98% -0.53% +0.27% +1.15% +0.68% +2.33% -4.24% -0.87% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $17.24 -0.64% -1.51% -2.78% -2.73% -4.47% +0.12% -0.81% -0.52% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $18.0 +0.28% +3.17% +3.67% +2.83% +4.28% +6.00% -0.56% +1.06% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $17.1 -0.03% +0.18% -1.05% -0.76% +2.11% +2.51% -1.05% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $16.69 -0.48% -1.38% +0.18% +1.44% +1.02% +1.77% -1.50% -0.72% LOSS
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $20.19 +0.05% -0.15% -0.41% -1.48% -0.74% +1.49% -0.50% +0.54% WIN
2026-08-28 09:25:00 $18.95 -0.63% +0.42% +2.00% +2.14% +3.54% +5.17% -0.69% +0.05% LOSS
2026-08-26 09:25:00 $19.72 +0.91% -0.46% -0.91% +0.46% -0.91% +1.91% +1.67% +0.61% WIN
2026-08-19 09:25:00 $17.88 +1.17% +2.95% +4.42% +6.21% +6.32% +8.67% +0.62% +1.29% WIN
2026-08-17 09:25:00 $18.17 -0.83% -1.54% -2.97% -3.63% -5.78% +0.39% -1.29% -1.27% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ NFXL Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.2% win rate, NFXL has -0.03% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making NFXL profitable.

🔧 Fix NFXL Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze NFXL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NFXL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NFXL historically offers an average upside of +2.74% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NFXL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.2%, NFXL shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.94%) outweigh average wins (+1.75%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NFXL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.03%). This suggests NFXL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.