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NIU Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 21 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-15 → 2024-12-09

⚠️ Small sample size (21 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Niu Technologies American Depositary Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 19, 2018 🔗 www.niu.com
💰 Market Cap: $243.2M 👥 Employees: 550
Niu Technologies designs, manufactures and sells high-performance electric motorcycles, scooters, bicycles, and kick-scooters. The company has a product portfolio consisting of electric motorcycle, mopeds and bicycle series, including the NQi, MQi, UQi, F series, and others, and micro-mobility series, including the kick-scooter series KQi and the e-bike series BQi. The company's principal operations and geographic markets are predominantly in the People's Republic of China. It also generates revenue from Europe and other regions.
📊
21
Total Alerts
🎯
61.9%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+1.27%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+5.97%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.1%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +3.21%
Avg Loser: -1.76%
Best: +6.67%
Worst: -5.17%
Trades: 8/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.61%
Avg Winner: +3.61%
Avg Loser: -3.38%
Best: +6.50%
Worst: -9.73%
Trades: 12/9

30MIN

Win Rate: 61.9%
Avg Gain: +1.27%
Avg Winner: +4.14%
Avg Loser: -3.39%
Best: +10.16%
Worst: -8.21%
Trades: 13/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 61.9%
Avg Gain: +0.34%
Avg Winner: +2.91%
Avg Loser: -3.83%
Best: +7.30%
Worst: -8.56%
Trades: 13/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.4%
Avg Gain: +0.57%
Avg Winner: +4.86%
Avg Loser: -4.62%
Best: +11.97%
Worst: -7.60%
Trades: 11/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.97%
Best MFE: +15.81%
Avg Time to MFE: 57 min

On average, NIU alerts reach +5.97% profit potential within 57 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.19%
Worst MAE: -8.15%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.19%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.73:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.73x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 21 alerts, NIU typically reaches +5.97% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 21
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.07%
Best Gap +2.51%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NIU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-09 09:28:55 $2.0 +0.85% +2.50% +5.53% +3.53% +0.50% +6.99% -0.75% - WIN
2024-10-08 09:29:21 $2.98 +1.68% +6.38% +0.67% +1.68% -2.68% +7.38% -2.68% -0.67% WIN
2024-10-07 09:29:15 $3.15 +6.67% +6.35% +10.16% +7.30% +6.98% +11.11% -1.59% -0.95% WIN
2024-10-02 09:26:20 $2.67 +2.30% +5.09% +1.69% +0.19% +3.37% +5.96% -0.75% -0.75% WIN
2024-09-30 09:25:55 $2.39 -2.30% -3.56% -2.09% +0.42% -3.77% +2.09% -3.77% -1.67% LOSS
2023-11-27 09:29:00 $2.46 +6.50% +6.50% +3.68% +2.44% +1.22% +10.16% -0.41% - WIN
2023-05-22 09:27:00 $3.98 +3.77% +1.68% +6.28% +5.28% +11.81% +15.81% -1.51% +2.51% WIN
2023-02-07 09:28:00 $4.91 -2.04% -1.07% -2.70% -6.21% -4.68% +1.22% -0.20% -0.20% LOSS
2022-12-22 09:25:00 $5.63 -1.60% -3.37% -3.55% -5.15% -6.22% +0.36% +0.18% -1.42% LOSS
2022-12-09 09:25:00 $5.65 -3.65% -3.72% +5.22% +1.42% +2.83% +6.02% -6.73% -0.89% LOSS
2022-12-08 09:25:00 $4.93 - +0.20% +5.27% +3.96% +11.97% +11.97% -1.01% +0.20% -
2022-12-07 09:25:00 $4.69 -0.21% -1.49% -1.07% -3.62% -1.71% +0.85% -1.67% -0.21% LOSS
2022-12-05 09:25:00 $4.66 -1.29% -5.36% -5.58% -4.08% -5.58% +3.00% -8.15% -1.72% LOSS
2022-11-21 09:25:00 $3.29 -5.17% -9.73% -8.21% -8.56% -7.60% +1.52% -5.17% +1.22% LOSS
2022-11-17 09:25:00 $3.56 -1.69% +2.39% +3.37% +5.62% +4.49% +8.71% -3.37% - LOSS
2022-11-16 09:25:00 $3.91 -0.77% -0.02% -1.53% -1.15% -6.65% +3.07% -2.30% -0.26% LOSS
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $3.56 +2.25% +3.65% +0.56% +1.69% +3.37% +5.34% - +2.25% WIN
2022-11-14 09:25:00 $3.35 -1.14% -2.09% -2.39% +0.15% - +4.43% -3.58% +0.30% LOSS
2022-11-04 09:25:00 $2.97 +1.68% +1.38% +4.04% +4.21% +5.39% +7.07% -0.34% +0.67% WIN
2022-09-07 09:25:00 $5.09 -0.38% +3.17% +2.36% -0.43% +1.57% +5.11% -0.39% +0.20% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 61.9% Baseline on NIU

The 61.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NIU's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NIU Strategy →

Why Analyze NIU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NIU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NIU historically offers an average upside of +5.97% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NIU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 61.9%, NIU shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NIU performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.27%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.