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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$NOWL

Trade-Ideas alerts 56.9% at 30-min n=130 2026-01-29 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

GraniteShares 2x Long NOW Daily ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 14, 2025
Total alerts
130
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
56.9%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
-0.14%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+5.25%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading NOWL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.8%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +2.04%
Avg Loser: -2.02%
Best: +6.07%
Worst: -9.04%
Trades: 66/62

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.5%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +3.33%
Avg Loser: -3.38%
Best: +8.55%
Worst: -10.39%
Trades: 63/65

30MIN

Win Rate: 56.9%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +3.25%
Avg Loser: -4.61%
Best: +10.07%
Worst: -12.39%
Trades: 74/56

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.1%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +3.71%
Avg Loser: -4.52%
Best: +11.44%
Worst: -11.91%
Trades: 69/61

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.2%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +5.60%
Avg Loser: -5.13%
Best: +17.44%
Worst: -15.47%
Trades: 64/65

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.25%
Best MFE: +18.63%
Avg Time to MFE: 113 min

On average, NOWL alerts reach +5.25% profit potential within 113 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.64%
Worst MAE: -11.36%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.64%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.21:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.21x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 130 alerts, NOWL typically reaches +5.25% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 130
Gap Up % 47.7%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +3.14%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NOWL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $7.63 -1.45% -5.25% -4.79% -4.99% -7.48% +0.25% -1.32% -0.01% LOSS
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $7.61 +0.92% -0.07% -0.92% -2.04% -2.10% +1.97% -0.66% -0.53% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $6.59 +0.30% +3.72% +5.36% +5.77% +7.13% +8.65% -0.61% +0.30% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $6.75 +0.15% +0.15% -0.44% +1.92% -1.63% +2.15% -2.50% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $6.63 -0.45% -3.47% -0.45% +1.96% +2.71% +3.32% -4.83% -0.30% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $7.5 -1.59% -0.46% +1.07% -0.13% -3.33% +2.67% -2.66% -0.66% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $7.87 -1.27% -2.92% -4.07% -3.43% -4.83% +0.38% -0.00% -1.91% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $7.54 -2.32% +3.58% +3.32% -0.26% +3.85% +5.04% -2.38% -0.79% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $7.93 -0.63% -4.92% -7.12% -7.82% -6.18% +0.51% -1.20% +0.25% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $7.41 +2.83% -0.59% +1.75% +2.16% +1.35% +4.72% -0.94% +1.35% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $7.67 +0.39% -3.19% -4.04% -4.17% -5.74% +1.04% -0.13% +0.52% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $7.66 -0.91% +0.26% +0.00% +1.24% -0.65% +2.35% -4.18% +0.91% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $7.67 +1.27% +0.78% +1.96% +2.09% +1.17% +3.91% -0.78% -0.65% WIN
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $7.79 +1.93% +2.44% +1.67% +1.99% +2.57% +11.04% -1.16% -0.58% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $7.82 -0.90% +0.96% -2.43% -3.90% +2.94% +4.16% -3.96% +0.77% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $6.85 +1.24% +1.17% +4.09% +1.61% +2.48% +5.40% -0.73% +0.15% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $6.88 +2.44% +1.16% +3.20% +2.34% +0.15% +5.38% -0.58% +0.29% WIN
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $7.25 -1.10% -1.79% -2.34% -2.76% -5.03% +0.34% -0.07% -1.52% LOSS
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $7.7 -4.55% -6.23% -5.75% -6.24% -5.97% +0.26% -0.91% -2.60% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $8.25 +1.82% -4.12% -2.97% -0.36% -2.79% +2.97% -0.48% +0.18% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ NOWL Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 56.9% win rate, NOWL has -0.14% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making NOWL profitable.

🔧 Fix NOWL Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze NOWL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NOWL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NOWL historically offers an average upside of +5.25% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NOWL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.9%, NOWL shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-4.61%) outweigh average wins (+3.25%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NOWL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.14%). This suggests NOWL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.