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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$NP

Trade-Ideas alerts 50.0% at 5-min n=2 2026-05-14 → 2026-08-14

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 2 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. INSURANCE AGENTS, BROKERS & SERVICE (SIC 6411)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 01, 2025 🔗 www.neptuneflood.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.76B 👥 Employees: 61
Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc is a high-growth, profitable, data-driven MGA that offers residential and commercial insurance products, including primary flood insurance, excess flood insurance and parametric earthquake insurance, distributed through a nationwide network of agencies in the United States. The company underwrites and administers the issuance of insurance policies on behalf of a diverse panel of insurance and reinsurance companies and does not take any balance sheet insurance risk or have claims handling responsibility relating to the policies it sells.
Total alerts
2
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
50.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.52%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.95%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading NP on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.52%
Avg Winner: +0.89%
Avg Loser: -1.93%
Best: +0.89%
Worst: -1.93%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.05%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.05%
Best: -0.56%
Worst: -3.54%
Trades: 0/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.86%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.86%
Best: -1.07%
Worst: -2.64%
Trades: 0/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.92%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.92%
Best: -0.95%
Worst: -2.89%
Trades: 0/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.59%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.59%
Best: -1.25%
Worst: -1.93%
Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.95%
Best MFE: +1.37%
Avg Time to MFE: 5 min

On average, NP alerts reach +0.95% profit potential within 5 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.24%
Worst MAE: -4.57%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.24%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.29:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, NP typically reaches +0.95% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.24%
Best Gap +1.37%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INSURANCE AGENTS, BROKERS & SERVICE

How NP compares to 21 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NP: -0.52% Sector: +0.05% -0.57%
EOD Gain
NP: -1.59% Sector: +1723.67% -1725.26%
Avg MFE
NP: +0.95% Sector: +8.16% -7.21%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-08-14 09:25:00 $32.11 +0.89% -0.56% -1.07% -0.95% -1.25% +1.37% -1.90% +1.37% WIN
2026-05-14 09:25:00 $28.0 -1.93% -3.54% -2.64% -2.89% -1.93% +0.54% -4.57% -0.89% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ NP Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.52% average gain, NP alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider NP for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze NP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NP historically offers an average upside of +0.95% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, NP shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests NP may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.52%). This suggests NP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.