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NPCE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2025-02-14 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 22, 2021 🔗 www.neuropace.com
💰 Market Cap: $556.6M 👥 Employees: 209
NeuroPace Inc is a commercial-stage medical device company focused on transforming the lives of people suffering from epilepsy by reducing or eliminating the occurrence of debilitating seizures. It derives substantially all of its revenue from the sales of RNS Systems to hospital facilities (typically Level 4 CECs) that implant RNS Systems.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+3.27%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+31.38%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.27%
Avg Winner: +3.27%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.27%
Worst: +3.27%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +5.73%
Avg Winner: +5.73%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.73%
Worst: +5.73%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +6.16%
Avg Winner: +6.16%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +6.16%
Worst: +6.16%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +5.56%
Avg Winner: +5.56%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.56%
Worst: +5.56%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +18.48%
Avg Winner: +18.48%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +18.48%
Worst: +18.48%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +31.38%
Best MFE: +31.38%
Avg Time to MFE: 250 min

On average, NPCE alerts reach +31.38% profit potential within 250 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.41%
Worst MAE: -2.41%
Avg Time to MAE: 0 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.41%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

13.04:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 13.04x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, NPCE typically reaches +31.38% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 25.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.77%
Best Gap -0.77%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How NPCE compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NPCE: +3.27% Sector: -0.34% +3.61%
EOD Gain
NPCE: +18.48% Sector: +38960.46% -38941.98%
Avg MFE
NPCE: +31.38% Sector: +8.67% +22.71%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NPCE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:55 $10.39 +3.27% +5.73% +6.16% +5.56% +18.48% +31.38% -2.41% -0.77% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on NPCE

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NPCE's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NPCE Strategy →

Why Analyze NPCE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NPCE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NPCE historically offers an average upside of +31.38% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NPCE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, NPCE shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NPCE performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.27%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.