FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

OGI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 43 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-02-11

⚠️ Small sample size (43 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Organigram Global Inc. Common Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 27, 2014 🔗 www.organigram.ca
💰 Market Cap: $215.1M 👥 Employees: 1,150
Organigram Global Inc is a licensed cultivator of cannabis and manufacturer of cannabis-derived goods in Canada. It is is focused on producing high-quality cannabis for adult recreational consumers. It has also developed and acquired a portfolio of legal adult-use recreational cannabis brands, including Edison, Holy Mountain, Big Bag O' Buds, SHRED, SHRED'ems, Monjour, Tremblant Cannabis, Trailblazer, BOXHOT and DEBUNK. Organigram operates facilities in Moncton, New Brunswick and Lac-Superieur, Quebec, with a dedicated edibles manufacturing facility in Winnipeg, Manitoba.
📊
43
Total Alerts
🎯
65.1%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+157.53%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+3.19%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.2%
Avg Gain: -0.73%
Avg Winner: +0.98%
Avg Loser: -1.70%
Best: +4.24%
Worst: -6.13%
Trades: 13/26

15MIN

Win Rate: 34.9%
Avg Gain: -1.12%
Avg Winner: +1.51%
Avg Loser: -2.73%
Best: +5.16%
Worst: -8.09%
Trades: 15/26

30MIN

Win Rate: 32.6%
Avg Gain: -1.21%
Avg Winner: +1.64%
Avg Loser: -2.68%
Best: +3.75%
Worst: -9.26%
Trades: 14/28

60MIN

Win Rate: 20.9%
Avg Gain: -1.67%
Avg Winner: +2.85%
Avg Loser: -2.95%
Best: +7.12%
Worst: -8.63%
Trades: 9/33

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 65.1%
Avg Gain: +157.53%
Avg Winner: +244.42%
Avg Loser: -4.67%
Best: +324.24%
Worst: -14.53%
Trades: 28/15

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.19%
Best MFE: +12.82%
Avg Time to MFE: 99 min

On average, OGI alerts reach +3.19% profit potential within 99 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.18%
Worst MAE: -6.06%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.18%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.46:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 43 alerts, OGI typically reaches +3.19% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 43
Gap Up % 32.6%
Avg Gap -0.27%
Best Gap +2.57%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OGI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-11 09:29:59 $1.55 -6.13% -3.79% -4.33% -4.58% -7.10% - -2.58% - LOSS
2024-12-18 09:27:07 $1.72 -4.07% -5.23% -5.20% -7.75% -14.53% - - -0.58% LOSS
2024-08-13 09:29:27 $1.65 +4.24% -0.61% +1.94% +3.64% +9.70% +11.52% -6.06% -0.61% WIN
2023-11-20 09:29:00 $1.26 +0.79% +3.97% +3.17% +0.79% +0.79% +5.56% -0.86% -0.79% WIN
2023-11-09 09:29:00 $1.25 - - -2.40% -2.40% -7.20% +0.80% - - -
2023-11-08 09:27:00 $1.29 +0.78% +1.55% +2.36% -0.82% -0.78% +3.88% - +1.55% WIN
2023-11-07 09:25:00 $1.36 +1.47% -1.47% -0.37% -0.74% -1.47% +2.94% -3.31% - WIN
2023-11-06 09:27:00 $1.54 -2.60% -2.56% -3.34% -4.22% -10.39% +3.90% -5.84% -1.30% LOSS
2023-09-15 09:28:00 $1.86 - -0.54% -2.96% -0.54% -2.15% +7.53% -3.76% -1.08% -
2023-07-14 09:26:00 $1.68 -4.17% -5.36% -5.36% -7.76% -7.14% - -4.17% -4.76% LOSS
2023-06-08 09:26:00 $0.43 -1.13% -2.47% -2.35% -4.47% +290.51% -0.58% -1.12% -1.12% LOSS
2023-04-17 09:27:00 $0.57 -2.17% -1.30% -1.30% -2.03% +294.01% -0.99% -2.63% -2.19% LOSS
2023-04-12 09:29:00 $0.63 -0.62% -0.14% -2.08% -4.07% -4.14% +0.99% -5.75% -2.33% LOSS
2023-01-17 09:27:00 $1.02 - -1.37% -0.61% -1.42% +283.14% +0.98% -1.96% -0.98% -
2023-01-13 09:26:00 $0.9 -1.69% +0.57% +2.61% +7.12% +10.58% +12.82% -1.70% +2.57% LOSS
2023-01-12 09:27:00 $0.91 -0.95% -4.40% -5.71% -4.79% +295.60% +6.59% -0.29% +1.43% LOSS
2023-01-06 09:26:00 $0.83 - -1.10% -2.76% -0.72% +295.18% +0.90% -3.37% +0.12% -
2022-10-07 09:25:00 $1.08 -2.77% -8.09% -9.26% -8.63% +248.19% - -2.78% - LOSS
2022-08-23 09:25:00 $1.04 -0.96% -0.96% +0.96% -2.40% +296.15% +1.92% -1.92% -1.92% LOSS
2022-07-19 09:25:00 $1.09 +0.88% +0.07% -1.38% -0.91% +296.33% +2.75% -2.73% +0.92% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 65.1% Baseline on OGI

The 65.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push OGI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize OGI Strategy →

Why Analyze OGI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OGI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OGI historically offers an average upside of +3.19% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OGI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 65.1%, OGI shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show OGI performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +157.53%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.