FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$ONTO

Trade-Ideas alerts 85.7% at EOD n=7 2026-01-06 → 2026-06-24

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 7 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 12, 1999 🔗 www.ontoinnovation.com
💰 Market Cap: $16.09B 👥 Employees: 1,790
Onto Innovation Inc is engaged in the design, development, manufacture, and support of high-performance control metrology, defect inspection, lithography, and data analysis systems used by microelectronics device manufacturers. The Company and its subsidiaries currently operate in a single operating segment. The company mainly operates in the United States, Southeast Asia, China, Japan, and Europe, with Taiwan and South Korea the sources of total revenue.
Total alerts
7
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
85.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+2.37%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+4.01%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading ONTO on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.26%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: +1.82%
Worst: -1.99%
Trades: 3/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +0.40%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -1.03%
Best: +2.41%
Worst: -1.44%
Trades: 5/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.38%
Avg Loser: -1.58%
Best: +4.02%
Worst: -3.02%
Trades: 4/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +2.62%
Avg Loser: -3.01%
Best: +3.85%
Worst: -6.18%
Trades: 4/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 85.7%
Avg Gain: +2.37%
Avg Winner: +3.15%
Avg Loser: -2.30%
Best: +5.52%
Worst: -2.30%
Trades: 6/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.01%
Best MFE: +6.52%
Avg Time to MFE: 223 min

On average, ONTO alerts reach +4.01% profit potential within 223 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.19%
Worst MAE: -3.40%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.19%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.37:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.37x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, ONTO typically reaches +4.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 42.9%
Avg Gap +0.18%
Best Gap +3.53%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MEASURING & CONTROLLING DEVICES, NEC

How ONTO compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ONTO: -0.04% Sector: -0.52% +0.47%
EOD Gain
ONTO: +2.37% Sector: +26.57% -24.20%
Avg MFE
ONTO: +4.01% Sector: +4.94% -0.93%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ONTO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-06-24 09:25:00 $319.08 -0.92% -1.44% -1.25% -2.36% +0.99% +1.01% -3.40% -0.96% LOSS
2026-06-12 09:25:00 $306.94 -0.74% -0.63% -0.47% +3.85% +5.52% +6.52% -1.65% -0.19% LOSS
2026-05-20 09:25:00 $252.53 +0.31% +0.60% +0.34% +2.68% +4.19% +5.25% -0.09% -0.09% WIN
2026-05-19 09:25:00 $240.0 +1.82% +1.24% +0.36% +0.72% +3.37% +4.70% -0.78% +3.53% WIN
2026-05-06 09:25:00 $293.33 -1.99% +0.12% +0.79% -0.47% +0.25% +3.76% -2.50% -1.99% LOSS
2026-02-26 09:25:00 $223.01 -0.42% +0.47% -3.02% -6.18% -2.30% +1.78% -0.42% +0.43% LOSS
2026-01-06 09:25:00 $179.05 +1.64% +2.41% +4.02% +3.24% +4.59% +5.04% +0.52% +0.53% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 85.7% Baseline on ONTO

The 85.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push ONTO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ONTO Strategy →

Why Analyze ONTO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ONTO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ONTO historically offers an average upside of +4.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ONTO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 85.7%, ONTO shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ONTO performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.37%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.