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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$ORCU

Trade-Ideas alerts 51.6% at 5-min n=128 2026-02-02 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Daily ORCL Bull 2X ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 19, 2025
Total alerts
128
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
51.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.00%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+4.33%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading ORCU on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.6%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +1.15%
Avg Loser: -1.31%
Best: +3.79%
Worst: -4.49%
Trades: 66/58

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.7%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +2.64%
Avg Loser: -2.74%
Best: +8.31%
Worst: -10.43%
Trades: 61/65

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.7%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +3.20%
Avg Loser: -3.35%
Best: +9.50%
Worst: -10.01%
Trades: 61/67

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.9%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +3.75%
Avg Loser: -3.90%
Best: +13.40%
Worst: -13.61%
Trades: 60/68

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -0.70%
Avg Winner: +4.40%
Avg Loser: -4.67%
Best: +15.33%
Worst: -16.11%
Trades: 56/72

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.33%
Best MFE: +16.39%
Avg Time to MFE: 102 min

On average, ORCU alerts reach +4.33% profit potential within 102 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.61%
Worst MAE: -7.52%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.61%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.69:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.69x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 128 alerts, ORCU typically reaches +4.33% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 128
Gap Up % 45.3%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +2.29%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ORCU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $6.97 +1.00% +0.00% +0.42% +3.30% +1.00% +4.45% -0.53% +0.43% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $6.72 +0.16% -1.11% -2.97% -4.05% -1.33% +1.79% -0.29% +1.05% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $6.51 +0.31% -2.30% -0.35% +0.31% +0.77% +2.61% -2.84% -0.46% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $6.14 +0.90% +1.79% +3.07% +13.40% +7.98% +16.39% -0.41% +0.16% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $6.14 +2.77% +1.14% +2.23% +1.71% -0.16% +4.71% -0.16% +0.08% WIN
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $6.68 +0.60% +1.65% +2.77% +0.55% -1.80% +3.74% -0.67% +0.30% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $6.51 +1.69% +3.30% -4.00% -0.22% +4.76% +5.84% -4.69% +0.46% WIN
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $7.74 -2.00% -1.68% -2.07% -3.75% -5.43% +0.00% -0.13% -0.26% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $7.98 +0.38% +2.38% +1.87% -0.86% -2.26% +3.63% -1.63% +0.88% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $7.83 -2.11% -3.13% -3.19% -0.83% -0.64% +1.21% -3.83% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $7.98 +0.51% -4.76% -5.70% -6.64% -3.75% +0.76% -2.88% +0.13% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $7.62 -0.40% +2.43% +3.15% +5.38% +4.99% +6.94% -0.79% +0.13% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $6.99 -0.29% +2.43% +6.29% +5.72% +3.86% +8.58% -2.00% -0.57% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $7.31 +1.23% -1.78% -3.83% -2.05% -4.51% +1.64% -0.41% -0.14% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $7.12 +2.25% +0.56% +3.51% +1.05% +4.35% +5.27% -1.12% -0.42% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $9.59 +0.52% -10.43% -10.01% -13.61% -16.11% +1.56% -2.19% -0.10% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $8.95 -0.31% +0.56% -3.07% +0.11% -6.70% +1.12% -2.46% -0.22% LOSS
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $9.52 +0.74% -0.68% -0.36% -2.83% -1.78% +2.22% -0.63% +0.42% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $10.07 +0.89% -0.42% -3.23% -4.97% -6.16% +2.78% -0.72% -0.35% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $9.12 -0.99% -2.52% -2.47% -1.86% -1.10% +0.66% +0.00% +0.11% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ ORCU Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.6% win rate, ORCU has +0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making ORCU profitable.

🔧 Fix ORCU Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze ORCU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ORCU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ORCU historically offers an average upside of +4.33% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ORCU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.6%, ORCU shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ORCU shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at +0.00%). This suggests ORCU is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.