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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$ORCX

Trade-Ideas alerts 46.0% at 5-min n=163 2026-01-05 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Defiance Daily Target 2X Long ORCL ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 06, 2025
Total alerts
163
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
46.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.10%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+4.24%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading ORCX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.0%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.17%
Avg Loser: -1.22%
Best: +4.15%
Worst: -4.81%
Trades: 75/85

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.8%
Avg Gain: -0.36%
Avg Winner: +2.48%
Avg Loser: -2.72%
Best: +8.24%
Worst: -10.37%
Trades: 73/88

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.3%
Avg Gain: -0.36%
Avg Winner: +3.40%
Avg Loser: -3.12%
Best: +8.60%
Worst: -9.93%
Trades: 69/94

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.4%
Avg Gain: -0.46%
Avg Winner: +3.67%
Avg Loser: -3.90%
Best: +13.50%
Worst: -13.67%
Trades: 74/89

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -0.74%
Avg Winner: +4.65%
Avg Loser: -4.66%
Best: +14.29%
Worst: -16.18%
Trades: 68/94

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.24%
Best MFE: +16.35%
Avg Time to MFE: 102 min

On average, ORCX alerts reach +4.24% profit potential within 102 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.66%
Worst MAE: -8.06%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.66%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.54:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.54x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 163 alerts, ORCX typically reaches +4.24% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 163
Gap Up % 46.0%
Avg Gap -0.07%
Best Gap +2.15%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ORCX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $19.57 +0.82% -0.10% -0.08% +2.91% +0.92% +4.09% -0.77% +0.72% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $18.81 -0.16% -1.28% -2.82% -4.31% -1.17% +1.80% -0.16% +0.80% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $18.26 +0.00% -2.49% -0.49% +0.05% +0.55% +2.28% -3.07% -0.71% LOSS
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $17.19 +0.64% +1.72% +3.09% +13.50% +7.92% +16.35% -0.34% +0.30% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $17.2 +2.74% +1.23% +2.33% +1.67% -0.05% +4.66% -0.17% +0.18% WIN
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $18.77 +0.32% +1.44% +2.40% +0.16% -2.08% +3.36% -0.91% -0.32% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $18.51 +0.49% +1.70% -5.62% -1.78% +3.08% +4.27% -6.21% -0.59% WIN
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $21.66 -2.12% -1.57% -1.85% -3.46% -5.40% +0.09% -0.60% -0.42% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $22.4 +0.18% +1.98% +1.38% -0.91% -2.50% +3.37% -1.92% +0.18% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $21.76 -1.88% -2.85% -3.03% -0.64% -0.32% +1.61% -3.49% +0.55% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $22.06 +1.33% -3.99% -4.99% -5.80% -2.95% +1.33% -0.41% +0.54% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $21.28 -0.89% +2.29% +2.93% +5.15% +4.89% +6.72% -0.94% -0.33% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $19.52 -0.67% +2.25% +6.10% +5.49% +3.64% +8.43% -2.15% -0.97% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $20.49 +0.68% -2.29% -4.30% -2.59% -5.12% +1.12% -0.88% -0.78% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $19.86 +2.11% +0.55% +3.68% +0.82% +4.33% +5.27% -1.15% -0.10% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $26.7 +0.62% -10.37% -9.93% -13.67% -16.18% +1.76% -2.10% -0.34% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $24.98 -0.52% +0.38% -3.16% +0.08% -6.77% +1.08% -2.76% -0.04% LOSS
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $26.57 +0.70% -0.90% -0.45% -2.90% -2.11% +2.03% -0.53% +0.30% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $27.98 +1.46% -0.29% -2.79% -4.69% -5.87% +3.21% -0.51% +0.07% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $25.49 -1.24% -2.79% -2.71% -2.08% -1.49% +0.35% -0.39% -0.71% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ ORCX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 46.0% win rate and -0.10% average gain, ORCX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ORCX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ORCX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ORCX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ORCX historically offers an average upside of +4.24% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ORCX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 46.0%, ORCX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ORCX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ORCX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.10%). This suggests ORCX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.